{ "publisher": "Gov Score", "edition": "Australia", "generated_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00", "rules_version": "2.1", "licence": "CC BY 4.0. Underlying ABS and RBA data: CC BY 4.0, credit the original publisher.", "measures": [ { "id": "inflation", "title": "Inflation", "topic": "Cost of living", "kind": "target", "federal_influence": "indirect", "latest": { "value": 4, "unit": "%", "period": "August 2026", "description": "annual CPI inflation, measured over the past 12 months" }, "verdict": { "verdict": "off_track", "reason": "Annual inflation is 4%, outside the 2-3% band.", "commitment": "Keep consumer price inflation between 2% and 3%.", "rule": "Within target if the latest annual inflation rate is between 2% and 3%. This is the Reserve Bank’s job, so it is shown but does not count in the government’s tally." }, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "down", "change": -2.3, "label": "−2.3 pts", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 6.2 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 3.9 ], "starting_point_note": "Inflation was already 6.2% and climbing when the government took office. It peaked at 7.8% at the end of 2022." }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 0.8, "from": [ "2025-08-31", 3.2 ], "to": [ "2026-08-31", 4 ] }, "labels": [ "Original", "Annual % change" ], "unit": "%", "series": [ { "name": "Annual CPI inflation (quarterly)", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2004-03-31", 2 ], [ "2004-06-30", 2.5 ], [ "2004-09-30", 2.3 ], [ "2004-12-31", 2.6 ], [ "2005-03-31", 2.3 ], [ "2005-06-30", 2.5 ], [ "2005-09-30", 3.1 ], [ "2005-12-31", 2.8 ], [ "2006-03-31", 3 ], [ "2006-06-30", 4 ], [ "2006-09-30", 3.9 ], [ "2006-12-31", 3.2 ], [ "2007-03-31", 2.5 ], [ "2007-06-30", 2.1 ], [ "2007-09-30", 1.9 ], [ "2007-12-31", 3 ], [ "2008-03-31", 4.3 ], [ "2008-06-30", 4.5 ], [ "2008-09-30", 5 ], [ "2008-12-31", 3.7 ], [ "2009-03-31", 2.4 ], [ "2009-06-30", 1.4 ], [ "2009-09-30", 1.2 ], [ "2009-12-31", 2.1 ], [ "2010-03-31", 2.9 ], [ "2010-06-30", 3.1 ], [ "2010-09-30", 2.8 ], [ "2010-12-31", 2.7 ], [ "2011-03-31", 3.3 ], [ "2011-06-30", 3.6 ], [ "2011-09-30", 3.5 ], [ "2011-12-31", 3.1 ], [ "2012-03-31", 1.6 ], [ "2012-06-30", 1.2 ], [ "2012-09-30", 1.9 ], [ "2012-12-31", 2.2 ], [ "2013-03-31", 2.5 ], [ "2013-06-30", 2.4 ], [ "2013-09-30", 2.2 ], [ "2013-12-31", 2.7 ], [ "2014-03-31", 2.9 ], [ "2014-06-30", 3.1 ], [ "2014-09-30", 2.3 ], [ "2014-12-31", 1.7 ], [ "2015-03-31", 1.3 ], [ "2015-06-30", 1.5 ], [ "2015-09-30", 1.5 ], [ "2015-12-31", 1.7 ], [ "2016-03-31", 1.3 ], [ "2016-06-30", 1 ], [ "2016-09-30", 1.3 ], [ "2016-12-31", 1.5 ], [ "2017-03-31", 2.1 ], [ "2017-06-30", 1.9 ], [ "2017-09-30", 1.8 ], [ "2017-12-31", 2 ], [ "2018-03-31", 1.9 ], [ "2018-06-30", 2.1 ], [ "2018-09-30", 1.9 ], [ "2018-12-31", 1.8 ], [ "2019-03-31", 1.3 ], [ "2019-06-30", 1.5 ], [ "2019-09-30", 1.7 ], [ "2019-12-31", 1.8 ], [ "2020-03-31", 2.2 ], [ "2020-06-30", -0.3 ], [ "2020-09-30", 0.6 ], [ "2020-12-31", 0.9 ], [ "2021-03-31", 1.1 ], [ "2021-06-30", 3.8 ], [ "2021-09-30", 3.1 ], [ "2021-12-31", 3.5 ], [ "2022-03-31", 5.1 ], [ "2022-06-30", 6.2 ], [ "2022-09-30", 7.3 ], [ "2022-12-31", 7.9 ], [ "2023-03-31", 7 ], [ "2023-06-30", 6 ], [ "2023-09-30", 5.3 ], [ "2023-12-31", 4.1 ], [ "2024-03-31", 3.6 ], [ "2024-06-30", 3.8 ], [ "2024-09-30", 2.9 ], [ "2024-12-31", 2.4 ], [ "2025-03-31", 2.4 ], [ "2025-06-30", 2.1 ], [ "2025-09-30", 3.2 ], [ "2025-12-31", 3.6 ], [ "2026-03-31", 4.1 ], [ "2026-06-30", 3.9 ] ] }, { "name": "Annual CPI inflation (new monthly CPI)", "role": "accent", "points": [ [ "2025-04-30", 2.4 ], [ "2025-05-31", 2.1 ], [ "2025-06-30", 1.9 ], [ "2025-07-31", 3 ], [ "2025-08-31", 3.2 ], [ "2025-09-30", 3.6 ], [ "2025-10-31", 3.8 ], [ "2025-11-30", 3.4 ], [ "2025-12-31", 3.8 ], [ "2026-01-31", 3.8 ], [ "2026-02-28", 3.7 ], [ "2026-03-31", 4.6 ], [ "2026-04-30", 4.2 ], [ "2026-05-31", 4 ], [ "2026-06-30", 3.8 ], [ "2026-07-31", 3.5 ], [ "2026-08-31", 4 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Consumer Price Index, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/consumer-price-index-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Reserve Bank of Australia", "title": "Statistical Table G1 - Consumer Price Inflation", "url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "Headline: the ABS monthly Consumer Price Index, percentage change from the same month a year earlier (all groups, eight capitals). History: year-ended quarterly CPI inflation from RBA Table G1, which extends back decades. The cumulative change compares the latest quarterly CPI index with the June quarter 2022." }, { "id": "prices_vs_wages", "title": "Prices vs wages since the election", "topic": "Cost of living", "kind": "context", "federal_influence": "indirect", "latest": { "value": 6, "unit": "", "period": "June quarter 2022 → June quarter 2026", "description": "of 8 essential price categories rose faster than wages" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": null, "change_over_year": null, "labels": [ "Original" ], "unit": "%", "series": [], "categories": [ { "name": "Insurance", "value": 43.3, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Electricity", "value": 37.5, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Rents", "value": 24, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Education", "value": 22.9, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Health", "value": 19.9, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Food", "value": 18.1, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "All prices (CPI)", "value": 16.8, "role": "accent" }, { "name": "Wages (WPI)", "value": 15.1, "role": "good" }, { "name": "Child care", "value": 14.1, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Petrol & fuel", "value": -0.6, "role": "muted" } ], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Consumer Price Index, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/consumer-price-index-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Wage Price Index, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/wage-price-index-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "Percentage change in each ABS CPI expenditure-class index and the Wage Price Index between the June quarter 2022 and the latest quarter available for all series." }, { "id": "real_wages", "title": "Real wages: private vs public sector", "topic": "Cost of living", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "indirect", "latest": { "value": -1.4, "unit": "%", "period": "June quarter 2026", "description": "change in private-sector real wages since June quarter 2022" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "down", "change": -1.41, "label": "−1.4%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 98.59 ], "starting_point_note": "Real wages were already falling when the government took office, because prices were rising faster than pay." }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "steady", "change": -0.755, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 99.34 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 98.59 ] }, "labels": [ "Original", "Real (after inflation)" ], "unit": "index", "series": [ { "name": "Private sector", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2004-03-31", 93.41 ], [ "2004-06-30", 93.54 ], [ "2004-09-30", 94.39 ], [ "2004-12-31", 94.56 ], [ "2005-03-31", 94.7 ], [ "2005-06-30", 94.91 ], [ "2005-09-30", 95.17 ], [ "2005-12-31", 95.54 ], [ "2006-03-31", 95.69 ], [ "2006-06-30", 94.94 ], [ "2006-09-30", 95.04 ], [ "2006-12-31", 95.99 ], [ "2007-03-31", 96.96 ], [ "2007-06-30", 96.61 ], [ "2007-09-30", 97.18 ], [ "2007-12-31", 97.3 ], [ "2008-03-31", 96.91 ], [ "2008-06-30", 96.52 ], [ "2008-09-30", 96.48 ], [ "2008-12-31", 97.88 ], [ "2009-03-31", 98.46 ], [ "2009-06-30", 98.46 ], [ "2009-09-30", 98.31 ], [ "2009-12-31", 98.26 ], [ "2010-03-31", 98.12 ], [ "2010-06-30", 98.19 ], [ "2010-09-30", 98.99 ], [ "2010-12-31", 99.45 ], [ "2011-03-31", 98.76 ], [ "2011-06-30", 98.41 ], [ "2011-09-30", 99.19 ], [ "2011-12-31", 100.09 ], [ "2012-03-31", 100.85 ], [ "2012-06-30", 101.05 ], [ "2012-09-30", 100.85 ], [ "2012-12-31", 101.31 ], [ "2013-03-31", 101.5 ], [ "2013-06-30", 101.64 ], [ "2013-09-30", 101.37 ], [ "2013-12-31", 101.17 ], [ "2014-03-31", 101.18 ], [ "2014-06-30", 101.1 ], [ "2014-09-30", 101.61 ], [ "2014-12-31", 101.93 ], [ "2015-03-31", 102.07 ], [ "2015-06-30", 101.77 ], [ "2015-09-30", 102.22 ], [ "2015-12-31", 102.24 ], [ "2016-03-31", 102.78 ], [ "2016-06-30", 102.66 ], [ "2016-09-30", 102.78 ], [ "2016-12-31", 102.57 ], [ "2017-03-31", 102.43 ], [ "2017-06-30", 102.64 ], [ "2017-09-30", 102.83 ], [ "2017-12-31", 102.54 ], [ "2018-03-31", 102.5 ], [ "2018-06-30", 102.53 ], [ "2018-09-30", 103.13 ], [ "2018-12-31", 103.07 ], [ "2019-03-31", 103.48 ], [ "2019-06-30", 103.27 ], [ "2019-09-30", 103.63 ], [ "2019-12-31", 103.39 ], [ "2020-03-31", 103.4 ], [ "2020-06-30", 105.35 ], [ "2020-09-30", 104.29 ], [ "2020-12-31", 103.89 ], [ "2021-03-31", 103.84 ], [ "2021-06-30", 103.39 ], [ "2021-09-30", 103.5 ], [ "2021-12-31", 102.79 ], [ "2022-03-31", 101.13 ], [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], [ "2022-09-30", 99.82 ], [ "2022-12-31", 98.77 ], [ "2023-03-31", 98.13 ], [ "2023-06-30", 97.91 ], [ "2023-09-30", 98.8 ], [ "2023-12-31", 98.92 ], [ "2024-03-31", 98.6 ], [ "2024-06-30", 98.16 ], [ "2024-09-30", 99.38 ], [ "2024-12-31", 99.84 ], [ "2025-03-31", 99.51 ], [ "2025-06-30", 99.34 ], [ "2025-09-30", 99.44 ], [ "2025-12-31", 99.54 ], [ "2026-03-31", 98.75 ], [ "2026-06-30", 98.59 ] ] }, { "name": "Public sector", "role": "accent", "points": [ [ "2004-03-31", 89.87 ], [ "2004-06-30", 89.68 ], [ "2004-09-30", 90.72 ], [ "2004-12-31", 91.01 ], [ "2005-03-31", 91.69 ], [ "2005-06-30", 91.57 ], [ "2005-09-30", 92.15 ], [ "2005-12-31", 92.52 ], [ "2006-03-31", 92.77 ], [ "2006-06-30", 92.04 ], [ "2006-09-30", 92.45 ], [ "2006-12-31", 93.58 ], [ "2007-03-31", 94.42 ], [ "2007-06-30", 93.87 ], [ "2007-09-30", 94.73 ], [ "2007-12-31", 94.65 ], [ "2008-03-31", 94.18 ], [ "2008-06-30", 93.31 ], [ "2008-09-30", 93.47 ], [ "2008-12-31", 95.11 ], [ "2009-03-31", 95.96 ], [ "2009-06-30", 96.15 ], [ "2009-09-30", 96.57 ], [ "2009-12-31", 96.99 ], [ "2010-03-31", 97.2 ], [ "2010-06-30", 96.98 ], [ "2010-09-30", 97.66 ], [ "2010-12-31", 98.19 ], [ "2011-03-31", 97.5 ], [ "2011-06-30", 97.06 ], [ "2011-09-30", 97.45 ], [ "2011-12-31", 98.25 ], [ "2012-03-31", 98.99 ], [ "2012-06-30", 99.09 ], [ "2012-09-30", 98.88 ], [ "2012-12-31", 99.24 ], [ "2013-03-31", 99.59 ], [ "2013-06-30", 99.56 ], [ "2013-09-30", 99.29 ], [ "2013-12-31", 99.34 ], [ "2014-03-31", 99.59 ], [ "2014-06-30", 99.42 ], [ "2014-09-30", 99.75 ], [ "2014-12-31", 100.31 ], [ "2015-03-31", 100.78 ], [ "2015-06-30", 100.39 ], [ "2015-09-30", 100.98 ], [ "2015-12-31", 101.08 ], [ "2016-03-31", 101.85 ], [ "2016-06-30", 101.73 ], [ "2016-09-30", 101.91 ], [ "2016-12-31", 101.93 ], [ "2017-03-31", 102.11 ], [ "2017-06-30", 102.31 ], [ "2017-09-30", 102.48 ], [ "2017-12-31", 102.42 ], [ "2018-03-31", 102.52 ], [ "2018-06-30", 102.55 ], [ "2018-09-30", 103.04 ], [ "2018-12-31", 103.2 ], [ "2019-03-31", 103.68 ], [ "2019-06-30", 103.68 ], [ "2019-09-30", 103.86 ], [ "2019-12-31", 103.61 ], [ "2020-03-31", 103.75 ], [ "2020-06-30", 106.25 ], [ "2020-09-30", 105.01 ], [ "2020-12-31", 104.37 ], [ "2021-03-31", 104.22 ], [ "2021-06-30", 103.68 ], [ "2021-09-30", 103.55 ], [ "2021-12-31", 102.97 ], [ "2022-03-31", 101.36 ], [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], [ "2022-09-30", 98.81 ], [ "2022-12-31", 97.83 ], [ "2023-03-31", 97.52 ], [ "2023-06-30", 97.21 ], [ "2023-09-30", 97.15 ], [ "2023-12-31", 98.03 ], [ "2024-03-31", 97.64 ], [ "2024-06-30", 97.33 ], [ "2024-09-30", 97.94 ], [ "2024-12-31", 98.51 ], [ "2025-03-31", 98.8 ], [ "2025-06-30", 98.81 ], [ "2025-09-30", 98.51 ], [ "2025-12-31", 98.78 ], [ "2026-03-31", 98.1 ], [ "2026-06-30", 98.24 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Wage Price Index, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/wage-price-index-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Consumer Price Index, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/consumer-price-index-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Reserve Bank of Australia", "title": "Statistical Table H4 - Labour Costs and Productivity", "url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Reserve Bank of Australia", "title": "Statistical Table G1 - Consumer Price Inflation", "url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Treasurer (Jim Chalmers)", "title": "Media release: wages continue to grow under Labor (19 August 2026)", "url": "https://ministers.treasury.gov.au/ministers/jim-chalmers-2022/media-releases/wages-continue-grow-under-labor-0", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "ABS Wage Price Index (by sector) divided by the Consumer Price Index, rebased so the June quarter 2022 = 100. A value below 100 means pay buys less than it did then. Year-ended wage growth by sector from RBA Table H4." }, { "id": "household_payments", "title": "Mortgage interest and income tax", "topic": "Cost of living", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "shared", "latest": { "value": 5.4, "unit": "%", "period": "June quarter 2026", "description": "of household gross income goes on mortgage interest" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 2.86, "label": "+2.9 pts", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 2.53 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 5.39 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 0.24, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 5.15 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 5.39 ] }, "labels": [ "Share of gross income", "Quarterly" ], "unit": "%", "series": [ { "name": "Mortgage interest, % of household gross income", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "1980-03-31", 2.28 ], [ "1980-06-30", 2.39 ], [ "1980-09-30", 2.33 ], [ "1980-12-31", 2.37 ], [ "1981-03-31", 2.49 ], [ "1981-06-30", 2.56 ], [ "1981-09-30", 2.59 ], [ "1981-12-31", 2.69 ], [ "1982-03-31", 2.65 ], [ "1982-06-30", 2.76 ], [ "1982-09-30", 2.8 ], [ "1982-12-31", 2.83 ], [ "1983-03-31", 2.7 ], [ "1983-06-30", 2.78 ], [ "1983-09-30", 2.56 ], [ "1983-12-31", 2.5 ], [ "1984-03-31", 2.45 ], [ "1984-06-30", 2.47 ], [ "1984-09-30", 2.28 ], [ "1984-12-31", 2.35 ], [ "1985-03-31", 2.42 ], [ "1985-06-30", 2.53 ], [ "1985-09-30", 2.61 ], [ "1985-12-31", 2.8 ], [ "1986-03-31", 2.87 ], [ "1986-06-30", 2.95 ], [ "1986-09-30", 3.11 ], [ "1986-12-31", 3.16 ], [ "1987-03-31", 3.2 ], [ "1987-06-30", 3.24 ], [ "1987-09-30", 2.97 ], [ "1987-12-31", 2.96 ], [ "1988-03-31", 2.8 ], [ "1988-06-30", 2.84 ], [ "1988-09-30", 2.81 ], [ "1988-12-31", 2.81 ], [ "1989-03-31", 3.03 ], [ "1989-06-30", 3.25 ], [ "1989-09-30", 3.47 ], [ "1989-12-31", 3.4 ], [ "1990-03-31", 3.43 ], [ "1990-06-30", 3.32 ], [ "1990-09-30", 3.24 ], [ "1990-12-31", 3.05 ], [ "1991-03-31", 2.91 ], [ "1991-06-30", 2.8 ], [ "1991-09-30", 2.72 ], [ "1991-12-31", 2.63 ], [ "1992-03-31", 2.36 ], [ "1992-06-30", 2.29 ], [ "1992-09-30", 2.1 ], [ "1992-12-31", 2.12 ], [ "1993-03-31", 2.18 ], [ "1993-06-30", 2.14 ], [ "1993-09-30", 2.14 ], [ "1993-12-31", 2.05 ], [ "1994-03-31", 2.1 ], [ "1994-06-30", 2.16 ], [ "1994-09-30", 2.32 ], [ "1994-12-31", 2.64 ], [ "1995-03-31", 2.99 ], [ "1995-06-30", 2.94 ], [ "1995-09-30", 2.79 ], [ "1995-12-31", 2.79 ], [ "1996-03-31", 2.89 ], [ "1996-06-30", 2.98 ], [ "1996-09-30", 2.95 ], [ "1996-12-31", 2.8 ], [ "1997-03-31", 2.52 ], [ "1997-06-30", 2.38 ], [ "1997-09-30", 2.22 ], [ "1997-12-31", 2.22 ], [ "1998-03-31", 2.26 ], [ "1998-06-30", 2.31 ], [ "1998-09-30", 2.29 ], [ "1998-12-31", 2.32 ], [ "1999-03-31", 2.3 ], [ "1999-06-30", 2.34 ], [ "1999-09-30", 2.48 ], [ "1999-12-31", 2.63 ], [ "2000-03-31", 2.88 ], [ "2000-06-30", 3.15 ], [ "2000-09-30", 3.26 ], [ "2000-12-31", 3.37 ], [ "2001-03-31", 3.11 ], [ "2001-06-30", 2.8 ], [ "2001-09-30", 2.9 ], [ "2001-12-31", 2.67 ], [ "2002-03-31", 2.75 ], [ "2002-06-30", 2.98 ], [ "2002-09-30", 3.26 ], [ "2002-12-31", 3.31 ], [ "2003-03-31", 3.32 ], [ "2003-06-30", 3.37 ], [ "2003-09-30", 3.59 ], [ "2003-12-31", 3.62 ], [ "2004-03-31", 4.11 ], [ "2004-06-30", 4.04 ], [ "2004-09-30", 4.28 ], [ "2004-12-31", 4.32 ], [ "2005-03-31", 4.33 ], [ "2005-06-30", 4.38 ], [ "2005-09-30", 4.54 ], [ "2005-12-31", 4.55 ], [ "2006-03-31", 4.55 ], [ "2006-06-30", 4.64 ], [ "2006-09-30", 4.93 ], [ "2006-12-31", 5.28 ], [ "2007-03-31", 5.41 ], [ "2007-06-30", 5.38 ], [ "2007-09-30", 5.73 ], [ "2007-12-31", 5.89 ], [ "2008-03-31", 6.08 ], [ "2008-06-30", 6.38 ], [ "2008-09-30", 6.14 ], [ "2008-12-31", 5.41 ], [ "2009-03-31", 5.12 ], [ "2009-06-30", 4.51 ], [ "2009-09-30", 4.81 ], [ "2009-12-31", 4.9 ], [ "2010-03-31", 5.21 ], [ "2010-06-30", 5.6 ], [ "2010-09-30", 5.44 ], [ "2010-12-31", 5.63 ], [ "2011-03-31", 5.51 ], [ "2011-06-30", 5.72 ], [ "2011-09-30", 5.68 ], [ "2011-12-31", 5.33 ], [ "2012-03-31", 5.48 ], [ "2012-06-30", 5.19 ], [ "2012-09-30", 5.14 ], [ "2012-12-31", 4.87 ], [ "2013-03-31", 4.7 ], [ "2013-06-30", 4.56 ], [ "2013-09-30", 4.4 ], [ "2013-12-31", 4.24 ], [ "2014-03-31", 4.2 ], [ "2014-06-30", 4.17 ], [ "2014-09-30", 4.13 ], [ "2014-12-31", 4.12 ], [ "2015-03-31", 4.01 ], [ "2015-06-30", 3.88 ], [ "2015-09-30", 3.84 ], [ "2015-12-31", 3.89 ], [ "2016-03-31", 3.96 ], [ "2016-06-30", 3.89 ], [ "2016-09-30", 3.75 ], [ "2016-12-31", 3.77 ], [ "2017-03-31", 3.75 ], [ "2017-06-30", 3.8 ], [ "2017-09-30", 3.76 ], [ "2017-12-31", 3.76 ], [ "2018-03-31", 3.76 ], [ "2018-06-30", 3.76 ], [ "2018-09-30", 3.77 ], [ "2018-12-31", 3.76 ], [ "2019-03-31", 3.75 ], [ "2019-06-30", 3.67 ], [ "2019-09-30", 3.49 ], [ "2019-12-31", 3.28 ], [ "2020-03-31", 3.12 ], [ "2020-06-30", 2.82 ], [ "2020-09-30", 2.66 ], [ "2020-12-31", 2.64 ], [ "2021-03-31", 2.54 ], [ "2021-06-30", 2.51 ], [ "2021-09-30", 2.41 ], [ "2021-12-31", 2.36 ], [ "2022-03-31", 2.28 ], [ "2022-06-30", 2.53 ], [ "2022-09-30", 3.39 ], [ "2022-12-31", 4.05 ], [ "2023-03-31", 4.42 ], [ "2023-06-30", 4.79 ], [ 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"1996-06-30", 14.39 ], [ "1996-09-30", 14.65 ], [ "1996-12-31", 14.98 ], [ "1997-03-31", 14.97 ], [ "1997-06-30", 15.17 ], [ "1997-09-30", 14.76 ], [ "1997-12-31", 15.3 ], [ "1998-03-31", 15.74 ], [ "1998-06-30", 15.7 ], [ "1998-09-30", 16.29 ], [ "1998-12-31", 16.18 ], [ "1999-03-31", 16.16 ], [ "1999-06-30", 15.44 ], [ "1999-09-30", 16.19 ], [ "1999-12-31", 15.58 ], [ "2000-03-31", 15.17 ], [ "2000-06-30", 17.29 ], [ "2000-09-30", 12.61 ], [ "2000-12-31", 14.31 ], [ "2001-03-31", 14.71 ], [ "2001-06-30", 14.06 ], [ "2001-09-30", 13.85 ], [ "2001-12-31", 13.31 ], [ "2002-03-31", 13.58 ], [ "2002-06-30", 17.08 ], [ "2002-09-30", 15 ], [ "2002-12-31", 15.14 ], [ "2003-03-31", 14.51 ], [ "2003-06-30", 14.15 ], [ "2003-09-30", 14.92 ], [ "2003-12-31", 14.8 ], [ "2004-03-31", 14.6 ], [ "2004-06-30", 14.33 ], [ "2004-09-30", 14.91 ], [ "2004-12-31", 14.73 ], [ "2005-03-31", 14.84 ], [ "2005-06-30", 14.36 ], [ "2005-09-30", 14.64 ], [ "2005-12-31", 14.71 ], [ "2006-03-31", 14.83 ], [ 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"2026-06-30", 15.66 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Australian National Accounts: Table 20, Household income account", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/national-accounts/australian-national-accounts-national-income-expenditure-and-product/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "ABS household income account, seasonally adjusted, quarterly. Interest payable on dwellings and income tax payable, each divided by total household gross income. Averages across all households, with and without a mortgage." }, { "id": "fuel_prices", "title": "Fuel prices", "topic": "Cost of living", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "indirect", "latest": { "value": 13.5, "unit": "%", "period": "August 2026", "description": "change in fuel prices over the past 12 months" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "steady", "change": -0.64, "label": "−0.6%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 99.36 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 6.279, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 93.49 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 99.36 ] }, "labels": [ "CPI automotive fuel" ], "unit": "index", "series": [ { "name": "Fuel prices (CPI automotive fuel), June qtr 2022 = 100", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2004-03-31", 46.71 ], [ "2004-06-30", 49.43 ], [ "2004-09-30", 51.08 ], [ "2004-12-31", 52.36 ], [ "2005-03-31", 50.94 ], [ "2005-06-30", 54.59 ], [ "2005-09-30", 60.92 ], [ "2005-12-31", 60.35 ], [ "2006-03-31", 61.21 ], [ "2006-06-30", 68.08 ], [ "2006-09-30", 67.28 ], [ "2006-12-31", 58.96 ], [ "2007-03-31", 59.79 ], [ "2007-06-30", 65.23 ], [ "2007-09-30", 62.8 ], [ "2007-12-31", 67.39 ], [ "2008-03-31", 71.06 ], [ "2008-06-30", 77.2 ], [ "2008-09-30", 78.73 ], [ "2008-12-31", 64.43 ], [ "2009-03-31", 59.19 ], [ "2009-06-30", 61.34 ], [ "2009-09-30", 63.77 ], [ "2009-12-31", 62 ], [ "2010-03-31", 64.62 ], [ "2010-06-30", 66 ], [ "2010-09-30", 63.57 ], [ "2010-12-31", 64.93 ], [ "2011-03-31", 70.6 ], [ "2011-06-30", 73.44 ], [ "2011-09-30", 72.42 ], [ "2011-12-31", 72.96 ], [ "2012-03-31", 74.77 ], [ "2012-06-30", 75.27 ], [ "2012-09-30", 72.32 ], [ "2012-12-31", 74.18 ], [ "2013-03-31", 75.05 ], [ "2013-06-30", 72.72 ], [ "2013-09-30", 78.26 ], [ "2013-12-31", 77.42 ], [ "2014-03-31", 80.56 ], [ "2014-06-30", 78.39 ], [ "2014-09-30", 76.34 ], [ "2014-12-31", 71.21 ], [ "2015-03-31", 62.5 ], [ "2015-06-30", 70.12 ], [ "2015-09-30", 68.87 ], [ "2015-12-31", 64.98 ], [ "2016-03-31", 58.5 ], [ "2016-06-30", 62 ], [ "2016-09-30", 60.19 ], [ "2016-12-31", 64.29 ], [ "2017-03-31", 67.97 ], [ "2017-06-30", 66.23 ], [ "2017-09-30", 64.68 ], [ "2017-12-31", 71.39 ], [ "2018-03-31", 72.06 ], [ "2018-06-30", 77.03 ], [ "2018-09-30", 78.16 ], [ "2018-12-31", 76.19 ], [ "2019-03-31", 69.55 ], [ "2019-06-30", 76.65 ], [ "2019-09-30", 75.09 ], [ "2019-12-31", 78.42 ], [ "2020-03-31", 73.73 ], [ "2020-06-30", 59.42 ], [ "2020-09-30", 65.03 ], [ "2020-12-31", 65.35 ], [ "2021-03-31", 71.07 ], [ "2021-06-30", 75.7 ], [ "2021-09-30", 81.08 ], [ "2021-12-31", 86.51 ], [ "2022-03-31", 95.98 ], [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], [ "2022-09-30", 95.72 ], [ "2022-12-31", 97.88 ], [ "2023-03-31", 97.03 ], [ "2023-06-30", 96.39 ], [ "2023-09-30", 103.32 ], [ "2023-12-31", 103.09 ], [ "2024-03-31", 102.04 ], [ "2024-06-30", 103.88 ], [ "2024-09-30", 96.88 ], [ "2024-12-31", 95 ], [ "2025-03-31", 96.83 ], [ "2025-06-30", 93.49 ], [ "2025-09-30", 95.36 ], [ "2025-12-31", 96.45 ], [ "2026-03-31", 101.48 ], [ "2026-06-30", 99.36 ] ] }, { "name": "All prices (CPI), June qtr 2022 = 100", "role": "muted", "points": [ [ "2004-03-31", 63.6 ], [ "2004-06-30", 63.9 ], [ "2004-09-30", 64.16 ], [ "2004-12-31", 64.65 ], [ "2005-03-31", 65.09 ], [ "2005-06-30", 65.48 ], [ "2005-09-30", 66.13 ], [ "2005-12-31", 66.47 ], [ "2006-03-31", 67.04 ], [ "2006-06-30", 68.1 ], [ "2006-09-30", 68.71 ], [ "2006-12-31", 68.63 ], [ "2007-03-31", 68.68 ], [ "2007-06-30", 69.53 ], [ "2007-09-30", 70.01 ], [ "2007-12-31", 70.66 ], [ "2008-03-31", 71.61 ], [ "2008-06-30", 72.65 ], [ "2008-09-30", 73.49 ], [ "2008-12-31", 73.25 ], [ "2009-03-31", 73.33 ], [ "2009-06-30", 73.7 ], [ "2009-09-30", 74.39 ], [ "2009-12-31", 74.79 ], [ "2010-03-31", 75.49 ], [ "2010-06-30", 75.94 ], [ "2010-09-30", 76.49 ], [ "2010-12-31", 76.79 ], [ "2011-03-31", 77.98 ], [ "2011-06-30", 78.7 ], [ "2011-09-30", 79.16 ], [ "2011-12-31", 79.16 ], [ "2012-03-31", 79.21 ], [ "2012-06-30", 79.62 ], [ "2012-09-30", 80.71 ], [ "2012-12-31", 80.91 ], [ "2013-03-31", 81.19 ], [ "2013-06-30", 81.49 ], [ "2013-09-30", 82.49 ], [ "2013-12-31", 83.08 ], [ "2014-03-31", 83.57 ], [ "2014-06-30", 83.99 ], [ "2014-09-30", 84.35 ], [ "2014-12-31", 84.51 ], [ "2015-03-31", 84.67 ], [ "2015-06-30", 85.27 ], [ "2015-09-30", 85.6 ], [ "2015-12-31", 85.93 ], [ "2016-03-31", 85.76 ], [ "2016-06-30", 86.14 ], [ "2016-09-30", 86.75 ], [ "2016-12-31", 87.2 ], [ "2017-03-31", 87.6 ], [ "2017-06-30", 87.77 ], [ "2017-09-30", 88.31 ], [ "2017-12-31", 88.9 ], [ "2018-03-31", 89.29 ], [ "2018-06-30", 89.61 ], [ "2018-09-30", 90 ], [ "2018-12-31", 90.47 ], [ "2019-03-31", 90.46 ], [ "2019-06-30", 90.99 ], [ "2019-09-30", 91.51 ], [ "2019-12-31", 92.13 ], [ "2020-03-31", 92.48 ], [ "2020-06-30", 90.7 ], [ "2020-09-30", 92.1 ], [ "2020-12-31", 92.93 ], [ "2021-03-31", 93.47 ], [ "2021-06-30", 94.15 ], [ "2021-09-30", 94.95 ], [ "2021-12-31", 96.16 ], [ "2022-03-31", 98.24 ], [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], [ "2022-09-30", 101.84 ], [ "2022-12-31", 103.72 ], [ "2023-03-31", 105.13 ], [ "2023-06-30", 106.03 ], [ "2023-09-30", 107.25 ], [ "2023-12-31", 107.92 ], [ "2024-03-31", 108.93 ], [ "2024-06-30", 110.07 ], [ "2024-09-30", 110.31 ], [ "2024-12-31", 110.53 ], [ "2025-03-31", 111.54 ], [ "2025-06-30", 112.38 ], [ "2025-09-30", 113.86 ], [ "2025-12-31", 114.53 ], [ "2026-03-31", 116.11 ], [ "2026-06-30", 116.81 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Consumer Price Index, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/consumer-price-index-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "ABS CPI automotive fuel index. Headline: latest month against the same month a year earlier (monthly CPI). Chart: quarterly index rebased to June quarter 2022 = 100, beside all groups CPI." }, { "id": "electricity", "title": "Electricity prices", "topic": "Energy", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "shared", "latest": { "value": 37.5, "unit": "%", "period": "June quarter 2026", "description": "change in electricity prices since June quarter 2022" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 37.48, "label": "+37.5%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 137.48 ], "starting_point_note": "Wholesale power prices were spiking when the government took office, during the 2022 energy crisis." }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 21.955, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 112.73 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 137.48 ] }, "labels": [ "Original", "Price index incl. rebates" ], "unit": "index", "series": [ { "name": "Electricity", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2004-03-31", 42.58 ], [ "2004-06-30", 42 ], [ "2004-09-30", 42.95 ], [ "2004-12-31", 43.19 ], [ "2005-03-31", 43.88 ], [ "2005-06-30", 43.31 ], [ "2005-09-30", 44.05 ], [ "2005-12-31", 44.36 ], [ "2006-03-31", 45.02 ], [ "2006-06-30", 44.48 ], [ "2006-09-30", 45.46 ], [ "2006-12-31", 45.69 ], [ "2007-03-31", 46.55 ], [ "2007-06-30", 46.03 ], [ "2007-09-30", 47.98 ], [ "2007-12-31", 48.32 ], [ "2008-03-31", 51.22 ], [ "2008-06-30", 50.53 ], [ "2008-09-30", 52.86 ], [ "2008-12-31", 53.23 ], [ "2009-03-31", 55.13 ], [ "2009-06-30", 54.85 ], [ "2009-09-30", 61.11 ], [ "2009-12-31", 61.58 ], [ "2010-03-31", 65.2 ], [ "2010-06-30", 64.78 ], [ "2010-09-30", 68.7 ], [ "2010-12-31", 69.31 ], [ "2011-03-31", 72.83 ], [ "2011-06-30", 71.73 ], [ "2011-09-30", 77.3 ], [ "2011-12-31", 77.74 ], [ "2012-03-31", 80.04 ], [ "2012-06-30", 79.36 ], [ "2012-09-30", 91.61 ], [ "2012-12-31", 91.49 ], [ "2013-03-31", 93.72 ], [ "2013-06-30", 93.09 ], [ "2013-09-30", 97.18 ], [ "2013-12-31", 97.27 ], [ "2014-03-31", 98.61 ], [ "2014-06-30", 97.83 ], [ "2014-09-30", 92.88 ], [ "2014-12-31", 92.88 ], [ "2015-03-31", 94.7 ], [ "2015-06-30", 94.16 ], [ "2015-09-30", 92.81 ], [ "2015-12-31", 92.81 ], [ "2016-03-31", 92.65 ], [ "2016-06-30", 92.26 ], [ "2016-09-30", 97.26 ], [ "2016-12-31", 97.24 ], [ "2017-03-31", 99.69 ], [ "2017-06-30", 99.53 ], [ "2017-09-30", 108.38 ], [ "2017-12-31", 109.35 ], [ "2018-03-31", 111.32 ], [ "2018-06-30", 109.87 ], [ "2018-09-30", 110.4 ], [ "2018-12-31", 111.28 ], [ "2019-03-31", 110.68 ], [ "2019-06-30", 108.82 ], [ "2019-09-30", 108.05 ], [ "2019-12-31", 107.41 ], [ "2020-03-31", 108.8 ], [ "2020-06-30", 106.12 ], [ "2020-09-30", 105.42 ], [ "2020-12-31", 97.48 ], [ "2021-03-31", 96.61 ], [ "2021-06-30", 99.82 ], [ "2021-09-30", 100 ], [ "2021-12-31", 100.4 ], [ "2022-03-31", 100 ], [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], [ "2022-09-30", 103.18 ], [ "2022-12-31", 112.1 ], [ "2023-03-31", 115.52 ], [ "2023-06-30", 113.39 ], [ "2023-09-30", 118.12 ], [ "2023-12-31", 119.81 ], [ "2024-03-31", 117.75 ], [ "2024-06-30", 120.22 ], [ "2024-09-30", 99.47 ], [ 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"2021-09-30", 94.95 ], [ "2021-12-31", 96.16 ], [ "2022-03-31", 98.24 ], [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], [ "2022-09-30", 101.84 ], [ "2022-12-31", 103.72 ], [ "2023-03-31", 105.13 ], [ "2023-06-30", 106.03 ], [ "2023-09-30", 107.25 ], [ "2023-12-31", 107.92 ], [ "2024-03-31", 108.93 ], [ "2024-06-30", 110.07 ], [ "2024-09-30", 110.31 ], [ "2024-12-31", 110.53 ], [ "2025-03-31", 111.54 ], [ "2025-06-30", 112.38 ], [ "2025-09-30", 113.86 ], [ "2025-12-31", 114.53 ], [ "2026-03-31", 116.11 ], [ "2026-06-30", 116.81 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Consumer Price Index, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/consumer-price-index-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Consumer Price Index, Australia, May 2026", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/consumer-price-index-australia/may-2026", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "ABC News (RMIT ABC Fact Check)", "title": "Promise check: cut power bills by $275", "url": "https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-05-19/promise-check-cut-power-bills-by-275-dollars/101791146", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "ABS CPI electricity index and all-groups index, each rebased so the June quarter 2022 = 100." }, { "id": "power_bills", "title": "Power bills: the $275 promise", "topic": "Energy", "kind": "target", "federal_influence": "shared", "latest": { "value": 387, "unit": "$", "period": "2022-23 → 2026-27", "description": "a year: rise in the default power price for a typical NSW household (Ausgrid)" }, "verdict": { "verdict": "not_met", "reason": "The 2025 deadline has passed and default prices are higher, not $275 lower.", "commitment": "Cut household power bills by $275 a year by 2025.", "rule": "Not met if the regulated default power price in the benchmark regions is not $275 a year lower than when the promise was made, now that the 2025 deadline has passed." }, "change_since_took_office": null, "change_over_year": null, "labels": [ "Nominal", "Regulated default offers" ], "unit": "$", "series": [], "categories": [ { "name": "South Australia (SA Power Networks)", "value": 494, "role": "accent" }, { "name": "NSW (Ausgrid)", "value": 387, "role": "accent" }, { "name": "South-East Qld (Energex)", "value": 368, "role": "accent" }, { "name": "Victoria (Victorian Default Offer)", "value": 188, "role": "accent" }, { "name": "The promise", "value": -275, "role": "primary" } ], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Energy Regulator", "title": "Default Market Offer prices 2026-27: final determination", "url": "https://www.aer.gov.au/system/files/2026-05/AER%20-%20Final%20determination%20-%20Default%20market%20offer%202026%E2%80%9327.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Energy Regulator", "title": "Default Market Offer price determination 2022-23: final determination", "url": "https://www.aer.gov.au/system/files/AER%20-%20Default%20Market%20Offer-%20Price%20determination%202022-23%20-%20Final%20Determination%20-%2026%20May%202022.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Essential Services Commission (Vic)", "title": "Victorian Default Offer 2026-27: final decision", "url": "https://www.esc.vic.gov.au/sites/default/files/documents/Victorian%20Default%20Offer%202026%E2%80%9327%20Final%20Decision%20Paper.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Essential Services Commission (Vic)", "title": "Victorian Default Offer 2022-23: final decision", "url": "https://www.esc.vic.gov.au/sites/default/files/documents/Victorian%20Default%20Offer%202022-23%20-%20Final%20decision_0.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "ABC News (RMIT ABC Fact Check)", "title": "Promise check: cut power bills by $275", "url": "https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-05-19/promise-check-cut-power-bills-by-275-dollars/101791146", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "Annual bill at benchmark usage for residential customers on a flat tariff without controlled load (GST inclusive), from the regulators' final determinations. Change = 2026-27 minus 2022-23." }, { "id": "wholesale_gas", "title": "Wholesale gas prices", "topic": "Energy", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "shared", "latest": { "value": 9.08, "unit": "$", "period": "June quarter 2026", "description": "average east-coast wholesale gas price" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "down", "change": -68.028, "label": "−68.0%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 28.4 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 9.08 ], "starting_point_note": "The starting point was a record high, set during the 2022 energy crisis." }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "down", "change": -26.537, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 12.36 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 9.08 ] }, "labels": [ "Nominal" ], "unit": "$", "series": [ { "name": "Average east-coast wholesale gas price ($/GJ)", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2022-06-30", 28.4 ], [ "2022-12-31", 17.79 ], [ "2025-06-30", 12.36 ], [ "2026-06-30", 9.08 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Energy Market Operator", "title": "Quarterly Energy Dynamics Q2 2026", "url": "https://www.aemo.com.au/-/media/files/major-publications/qed/2026/qed-q2-2026.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Energy Market Operator", "title": "Quarterly Energy Dynamics Q2 2022", "url": "https://www.aemo.com.au/-/media/files/major-publications/qed/2022/qed-q2-2022.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "ACCC", "title": "Storage vital to meeting winter demand across east coast gas market in Q3 2026", "url": "https://www.accc.gov.au/media-release/storage-vital-to-meeting-winter-demand-across-east-coast-gas-market-in-q3-2026", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "Average east-coast wholesale gas price for the quarter as reported in AEMO's Quarterly Energy Dynamics." }, { "id": "emissions_target", "title": "Emissions target", "topic": "Energy", "kind": "target", "federal_influence": "shared", "latest": { "value": 25, "unit": "%", "period": "Year to March 2026", "description": "below 2005 emissions levels" }, "verdict": { "verdict": "off_track", "reason": "The government’s own latest projections show the 2030 target being missed.", "commitment": "Cut greenhouse emissions to 43% below 2005 levels by 2030.", "rule": "Judged on the government’s own latest emissions projections: on track if they show the 2030 target being met, off track if they show it being missed." }, "change_since_took_office": null, "change_over_year": null, "labels": [ "Official inventory and projections" ], "unit": "%", "series": [], "categories": [ { "name": "Achieved (year to Mar 2026)", "value": 25, "role": "primary" }, { "name": "Projected by 2030 (govt)", "value": 42, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Legislated 2030 target", "value": 43, "role": "accent" } ], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water", "title": "Quarterly Update of Australia's National Greenhouse Gas Inventory: March 2026", "url": "https://www.dcceew.gov.au/sites/default/files/documents/quarterly-update-australias-national-greenhouse-gas-inventory-march-2026.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water", "title": "Annual Climate Change Statement 2025", "url": "https://www.dcceew.gov.au/sites/default/files/documents/annual-climate-change-statement-2025.pdf", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "National inventory emissions (year to March 2026) compared with 2005, and the government's published 2030 projection." }, { "id": "mortgage", "title": "Mortgage costs", "topic": "Housing", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "indirect", "latest": { "value": 1113, "unit": "$", "period": "July 2026", "description": "extra per month on a $600,000 loan vs May 2022" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 3.1, "label": "+3.10 pts", "from": [ "2022-05-31", 3.1 ], "to": [ "2026-07-31", 6.2 ], "starting_point_note": "Mortgage rates in May 2022 reflected the Reserve Bank’s pandemic emergency setting, which it had just begun to unwind." }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 0.4, "from": [ "2025-07-31", 5.8 ], "to": [ "2026-07-31", 6.2 ] }, "labels": [ "Nominal" ], "unit": "%", "series": [ { "name": "Owner-occupier variable rate (outstanding loans)", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2019-07-31", 3.81 ], [ "2019-08-31", 3.8 ], [ "2019-09-30", 3.8 ], [ "2019-10-31", 3.6 ], [ "2019-11-30", 3.6 ], [ "2019-12-31", 3.6 ], [ "2020-01-31", 3.6 ], [ "2020-02-29", 3.6 ], [ "2020-03-31", 3.3 ], [ "2020-04-30", 3.3 ], [ "2020-05-31", 3.3 ], [ "2020-06-30", 3.2 ], [ "2020-07-31", 3.2 ], [ "2020-08-31", 3.2 ], [ "2020-09-30", 3.2 ], [ "2020-10-31", 3.2 ], [ "2020-11-30", 3.2 ], [ "2020-12-31", 3.2 ], [ "2021-01-31", 3.1 ], [ "2021-02-28", 3.1 ], [ "2021-03-31", 3.1 ], [ "2021-04-30", 3.1 ], [ "2021-05-31", 3.1 ], [ "2021-06-30", 3.1 ], [ "2021-07-31", 3 ], [ "2021-08-31", 3 ], [ "2021-09-30", 3 ], [ 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"2020-07-31", 0.25 ], [ "2020-08-31", 0.25 ], [ "2020-09-30", 0.25 ], [ "2020-10-31", 0.25 ], [ "2020-11-30", 0.11 ], [ "2020-12-31", 0.1 ], [ "2021-01-31", 0.1 ], [ "2021-02-28", 0.1 ], [ "2021-03-31", 0.1 ], [ "2021-04-30", 0.1 ], [ "2021-05-31", 0.1 ], [ "2021-06-30", 0.1 ], [ "2021-07-31", 0.1 ], [ "2021-08-31", 0.1 ], [ "2021-09-30", 0.1 ], [ "2021-10-31", 0.1 ], [ "2021-11-30", 0.1 ], [ "2021-12-31", 0.1 ], [ "2022-01-31", 0.1 ], [ "2022-02-28", 0.1 ], [ "2022-03-31", 0.1 ], [ "2022-04-30", 0.1 ], [ "2022-05-31", 0.33 ], [ "2022-06-30", 0.73 ], [ "2022-07-31", 1.28 ], [ "2022-08-31", 1.81 ], [ "2022-09-30", 2.25 ], [ "2022-10-31", 2.58 ], [ "2022-11-30", 2.84 ], [ "2022-12-31", 3.05 ], [ "2023-01-31", 3.1 ], [ "2023-02-28", 3.29 ], [ "2023-03-31", 3.54 ], [ "2023-04-30", 3.6 ], [ "2023-05-31", 3.83 ], [ "2023-06-30", 4.05 ], [ "2023-07-31", 4.1 ], [ "2023-08-31", 4.1 ], [ "2023-09-30", 4.1 ], [ "2023-10-31", 4.1 ], [ "2023-11-30", 4.29 ], [ "2023-12-31", 4.35 ], [ "2024-01-31", 4.35 ], [ "2024-02-29", 4.35 ], [ "2024-03-31", 4.35 ], [ "2024-04-30", 4.35 ], [ "2024-05-31", 4.35 ], [ "2024-06-30", 4.35 ], [ "2024-07-31", 4.35 ], [ "2024-08-31", 4.35 ], [ "2024-09-30", 4.35 ], [ "2024-10-31", 4.35 ], [ "2024-11-30", 4.35 ], [ "2024-12-31", 4.35 ], [ "2025-01-31", 4.35 ], [ "2025-02-28", 4.25 ], [ "2025-03-31", 4.1 ], [ "2025-04-30", 4.1 ], [ "2025-05-31", 4.01 ], [ "2025-06-30", 3.85 ], [ "2025-07-31", 3.85 ], [ "2025-08-31", 3.7 ], [ "2025-09-30", 3.6 ], [ "2025-10-31", 3.6 ], [ "2025-11-30", 3.6 ], [ "2025-12-31", 3.6 ], [ "2026-01-31", 3.6 ], [ "2026-02-28", 3.83 ], [ "2026-03-31", 3.96 ], [ "2026-04-30", 4.1 ], [ "2026-05-31", 4.31 ], [ "2026-06-30", 4.35 ], [ "2026-07-31", 4.35 ], [ "2026-08-31", 4.35 ], [ "2026-09-30", 4.36 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Reserve Bank of Australia", "title": "Statistical Table F6 - Housing Lending Rates", "url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Reserve Bank of Australia", "title": "Statistical Table F1.1 - Interest Rates and Yields - Money Market", "url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "Standard amortisation formula applied to a $600,000 30-year principal-and-interest loan, using the RBA's average rate on outstanding owner-occupier variable loans in May 2022 and the latest month." }, { "id": "interest_rates", "title": "Interest rate rises", "topic": "Housing", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "indirect", "latest": { "value": 16, "unit": "", "period": "since 23 May 2022 (to 30 Sep 2026)", "description": "cash rate rises, versus 3 cuts" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 3.25, "label": "+3.25 pts", "from": [ "2022-07-06", 1.35 ], "to": [ "2026-10-07", 4.6 ], "starting_point_note": "The cash rate was at a pandemic emergency low of 0.35% in May 2022. The Reserve Bank had begun lifting it earlier that month." }, "change_over_year": null, "labels": [ "Policy rate" ], "unit": "%", "series": [ { "name": "RBA cash rate target", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2004-01-01", 5.25 ], [ "2005-03-02", 5.5 ], [ "2006-05-03", 5.75 ], [ "2006-08-02", 6 ], [ "2006-11-08", 6.25 ], [ "2007-08-08", 6.5 ], [ "2007-11-07", 6.75 ], [ "2008-02-06", 7 ], [ "2008-03-05", 7.25 ], [ "2008-09-03", 7 ], [ "2008-10-08", 6 ], [ "2008-11-05", 5.25 ], [ "2008-12-03", 4.25 ], [ "2009-02-04", 3.25 ], [ "2009-04-08", 3 ], [ "2009-10-07", 3.25 ], [ "2009-11-04", 3.5 ], [ "2009-12-02", 3.75 ], [ "2010-03-03", 4 ], [ "2010-04-07", 4.25 ], [ "2010-05-05", 4.5 ], [ "2010-11-03", 4.75 ], [ "2011-11-02", 4.5 ], [ "2011-12-07", 4.25 ], [ "2012-05-02", 3.75 ], [ "2012-06-06", 3.5 ], [ "2012-10-03", 3.25 ], [ "2012-12-05", 3 ], [ "2013-05-08", 2.75 ], [ "2013-08-07", 2.5 ], [ "2015-02-04", 2.25 ], [ "2015-05-06", 2 ], [ "2016-05-04", 1.75 ], [ "2016-08-03", 1.5 ], [ "2019-06-05", 1.25 ], [ "2019-07-03", 1 ], [ "2019-10-02", 0.75 ], [ "2020-03-04", 0.5 ], [ "2020-03-20", 0.25 ], [ "2020-11-04", 0.1 ], [ "2022-05-04", 0.35 ], [ "2022-06-08", 0.85 ], [ "2022-07-06", 1.35 ], [ "2022-08-03", 1.85 ], [ "2022-09-07", 2.35 ], [ "2022-10-05", 2.6 ], [ "2022-11-02", 2.85 ], [ "2022-12-07", 3.1 ], [ "2023-02-08", 3.35 ], [ "2023-03-08", 3.6 ], [ "2023-05-03", 3.85 ], [ "2023-06-07", 4.1 ], [ "2023-11-08", 4.35 ], [ "2025-02-19", 4.1 ], [ "2025-05-21", 3.85 ], [ "2025-08-13", 3.6 ], [ "2026-02-04", 3.85 ], [ "2026-03-18", 4.1 ], [ "2026-05-06", 4.35 ], [ "2026-09-30", 4.6 ], [ "2026-10-07", 4.6 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Reserve Bank of Australia", "title": "Statistical Table F1.1 - Interest Rates and Yields - Money Market", "url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Reserve Bank of Australia", "title": "Statistical Table A2 - Changes in Monetary Policy and Administered Rates", "url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/cash-rate/", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "Every cash rate target decision published in RBA Table A2 after 23 May 2022, cross-checked against the monthly cash rate target in Table F1.1." }, { "id": "housing_accord", "title": "Housing Accord: 1.2 million homes", "topic": "Housing", "kind": "target", "federal_influence": "shared", "latest": { "value": 74, "unit": "%", "period": "September quarter 2024 → June quarter 2026", "description": "of the required pace achieved" }, "verdict": { "verdict": "off_track", "reason": "Completions are running at 74% of the pace needed.", "commitment": "Build 1.2 million new well-located homes in the five years from 1 July 2024.", "rule": "On track if homes completed since July 2024 are at or above the 60,000-a-quarter pace needed; at risk if up to 10% behind; off track if more than 10% behind." }, "change_since_took_office": null, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 15.785, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 41020 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 47495 ] }, "labels": [ "Original (not seasonally adjusted)" ], "unit": "homes", "series": [ { "name": "New dwellings completed per quarter", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2004-03-31", 36453 ], [ "2004-06-30", 42114 ], [ "2004-09-30", 41897 ], [ "2004-12-31", 40977 ], [ "2005-03-31", 35658 ], [ "2005-06-30", 42146 ], [ "2005-09-30", 42580 ], [ "2005-12-31", 41966 ], [ "2006-03-31", 32646 ], [ "2006-06-30", 37796 ], [ "2006-09-30", 34711 ], [ "2006-12-31", 40272 ], [ "2007-03-31", 35751 ], [ "2007-06-30", 38104 ], [ "2007-09-30", 35994 ], [ "2007-12-31", 41843 ], [ "2008-03-31", 31641 ], [ "2008-06-30", 34752 ], [ "2008-09-30", 35503 ], [ "2008-12-31", 43277 ], [ "2009-03-31", 31321 ], [ "2009-06-30", 38031 ], [ "2009-09-30", 35709 ], [ "2009-12-31", 41737 ], [ "2010-03-31", 30964 ], [ "2010-06-30", 40916 ], [ "2010-09-30", 38234 ], [ "2010-12-31", 45927 ], [ "2011-03-31", 36580 ], [ "2011-06-30", 39999 ], [ "2011-09-30", 38149 ], [ "2011-12-31", 38734 ], [ "2012-03-31", 29396 ], [ "2012-06-30", 38343 ], [ "2012-09-30", 36472 ], [ "2012-12-31", 40525 ], [ "2013-03-31", 31577 ], [ "2013-06-30", 37737 ], [ "2013-09-30", 39609 ], [ "2013-12-31", 43404 ], [ "2014-03-31", 33967 ], [ "2014-06-30", 43105 ], [ "2014-09-30", 48276 ], [ "2014-12-31", 49827 ], [ "2015-03-31", 42164 ], [ "2015-06-30", 49772 ], [ "2015-09-30", 51293 ], [ "2015-12-31", 52216 ], [ "2016-03-31", 38388 ], [ "2016-06-30", 57705 ], [ "2016-09-30", 52561 ], [ "2016-12-31", 62467 ], [ "2017-03-31", 47917 ], [ "2017-06-30", 53759 ], [ "2017-09-30", 54272 ], [ "2017-12-31", 55327 ], [ "2018-03-31", 45277 ], [ "2018-06-30", 56490 ], [ "2018-09-30", 58739 ], [ "2018-12-31", 57460 ], [ "2019-03-31", 44479 ], [ "2019-06-30", 52911 ], [ "2019-09-30", 48886 ], [ "2019-12-31", 54747 ], [ "2020-03-31", 40172 ], [ "2020-06-30", 47218 ], [ "2020-09-30", 45035 ], [ "2020-12-31", 47781 ], [ "2021-03-31", 38738 ], [ "2021-06-30", 47362 ], [ "2021-09-30", 45215 ], [ "2021-12-31", 46080 ], [ "2022-03-31", 36826 ], [ "2022-06-30", 43775 ], [ "2022-09-30", 45189 ], [ "2022-12-31", 47550 ], [ "2023-03-31", 38593 ], [ "2023-06-30", 42551 ], [ "2023-09-30", 44960 ], [ "2023-12-31", 49684 ], [ "2024-03-31", 35973 ], [ "2024-06-30", 46305 ], [ "2024-09-30", 45930 ], [ "2024-12-31", 49629 ], [ "2025-03-31", 37896 ], [ "2025-06-30", 41020 ], [ "2025-09-30", 45557 ], [ "2025-12-31", 48169 ], [ "2026-03-31", 38658 ], [ "2026-06-30", 47495 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Building Activity, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/industry/building-and-construction/building-activity-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "National Housing Supply and Affordability Council", "title": "Quarterly report, August 2026", "url": "https://nhsac.gov.au/reports-and-submissions/quarterly-report-august-2026", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "The Treasury", "title": "National Housing Accord", "url": "https://treasury.gov.au/policy-topics/housing/accord", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "Sum of ABS new residential dwelling completions (original series) from the September quarter 2024 (the Accord began 1 July 2024) to the latest quarter, compared with 1.2 million ÷ 20 quarters = 60,000 per quarter." }, { "id": "home_prices", "title": "Home prices", "topic": "Housing", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "shared", "latest": { "value": 1100000, "unit": "$", "period": "June quarter 2026", "description": "average price of a residential dwelling in Australia" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 19.453, "label": "+19.5%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 921.2 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 1100.4 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 6.845, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 1029.9 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 1100.4 ] }, "labels": [ "Nominal", "Mean price, not a like-for-like index" ], "unit": "$'000", "series": [ { "name": "Mean price of residential dwellings ($'000)", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2011-09-30", 490.8 ], [ "2011-12-31", 486.9 ], [ "2012-03-31", 488.6 ], [ "2012-06-30", 489.9 ], [ "2012-09-30", 486.3 ], [ "2012-12-31", 496.4 ], [ "2013-03-31", 501.1 ], [ "2013-06-30", 508.1 ], [ "2013-09-30", 515.5 ], [ "2013-12-31", 532.7 ], [ "2014-03-31", 539.3 ], [ "2014-06-30", 547.5 ], [ "2014-09-30", 553.5 ], [ "2014-12-31", 568.7 ], [ "2015-03-31", 579.3 ], [ "2015-06-30", 600.1 ], [ "2015-09-30", 611 ], [ "2015-12-31", 611.6 ], [ "2016-03-31", 609.3 ], [ "2016-06-30", 619.5 ], [ "2016-09-30", 628.6 ], [ "2016-12-31", 651.6 ], [ "2017-03-31", 665 ], [ "2017-06-30", 678.8 ], [ "2017-09-30", 676.4 ], [ "2017-12-31", 689.7 ], [ "2018-03-31", 688 ], [ "2018-06-30", 681.1 ], [ "2018-09-30", 671.7 ], [ "2018-12-31", 661.4 ], [ "2019-03-31", 646 ], [ "2019-06-30", 649.3 ], [ "2019-09-30", 668.8 ], [ "2019-12-31", 686.8 ], [ "2020-03-31", 694.7 ], [ "2020-06-30", 689.4 ], [ "2020-09-30", 706.7 ], [ "2020-12-31", 738.9 ], [ "2021-03-31", 778.3 ], [ "2021-06-30", 813.9 ], [ "2021-09-30", 865.7 ], [ "2021-12-31", 916.8 ], [ "2022-03-31", 930.6 ], [ "2022-06-30", 921.2 ], [ "2022-09-30", 890.5 ], [ "2022-12-31", 891 ], [ "2023-03-31", 890.9 ], [ "2023-06-30", 914.9 ], [ "2023-09-30", 925.2 ], [ "2023-12-31", 949.4 ], [ "2024-03-31", 962.1 ], [ "2024-06-30", 982.2 ], [ "2024-09-30", 983.3 ], [ "2024-12-31", 1002.9 ], [ "2025-03-31", 1007.8 ], [ "2025-06-30", 1029.9 ], [ "2025-09-30", 1050.9 ], [ "2025-12-31", 1093.2 ], [ "2026-03-31", 1108.6 ], [ "2026-06-30", 1100.4 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Total Value of Dwellings", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/total-value-dwellings/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Wage Price Index, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/wage-price-index-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "ABS Total Value of Dwellings: mean price of residential dwellings (total value of dwelling stock ÷ number of dwellings). Compared with the Wage Price Index over the same period." }, { "id": "people_per_home", "title": "New residents per new home", "topic": "Housing", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "shared", "latest": { "value": 2.3, "unit": "", "period": "12 months to March quarter 2026", "description": "new residents for every new home completed" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 17.01, "label": "+17.0%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 1.94 ], "to": [ "2026-03-31", 2.27 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "down", "change": -1.732, "from": [ "2025-03-31", 2.31 ], "to": [ "2026-03-31", 2.27 ] }, "labels": [ "Rolling 12 months" ], "unit": "", "series": [ { "name": "New residents per new home completed, past 12 months", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2002-03-31", 1.83 ], [ "2002-06-30", 1.67 ], [ "2002-09-30", 1.61 ], [ "2002-12-31", 1.49 ], [ "2003-03-31", 1.47 ], [ "2003-06-30", 1.46 ], [ "2003-09-30", 1.44 ], [ "2003-12-31", 1.44 ], [ "2004-03-31", 1.4 ], [ "2004-06-30", 1.34 ], [ "2004-09-30", 1.33 ], [ "2004-12-31", 1.36 ], [ "2005-03-31", 1.45 ], [ "2005-06-30", 1.52 ], [ "2005-09-30", 1.58 ], [ "2005-12-31", 1.64 ], [ "2006-03-31", 1.7 ], [ "2006-06-30", 1.77 ], [ "2006-09-30", 2.02 ], [ "2006-12-31", 2.17 ], [ "2007-03-31", 2.32 ], [ "2007-06-30", 2.53 ], [ "2007-09-30", 2.54 ], [ "2007-12-31", 2.56 ], [ "2008-03-31", 2.75 ], [ "2008-06-30", 2.92 ], [ "2008-09-30", 3.07 ], [ "2008-12-31", 3.17 ], [ "2009-03-31", 3.13 ], [ "2009-06-30", 2.99 ], [ "2009-09-30", 2.85 ], [ "2009-12-31", 2.66 ], [ "2010-03-31", 2.47 ], [ "2010-06-30", 2.28 ], [ "2010-09-30", 2.08 ], [ "2010-12-31", 1.97 ], [ "2011-03-31", 1.88 ], [ "2011-06-30", 1.92 ], [ "2011-09-30", 2.04 ], [ "2011-12-31", 2.28 ], [ "2012-03-31", 2.54 ], [ "2012-06-30", 2.72 ], [ "2012-09-30", 2.81 ], [ "2012-12-31", 2.8 ], [ "2013-03-31", 2.74 ], [ "2013-06-30", 2.7 ], [ "2013-09-30", 2.58 ], [ "2013-12-31", 2.43 ], [ "2014-03-31", 2.35 ], [ "2014-06-30", 2.17 ], [ "2014-09-30", 2.03 ], [ "2014-12-31", 1.96 ], [ "2015-03-31", 1.85 ], [ "2015-06-30", 1.79 ], [ "2015-09-30", 1.77 ], [ "2015-12-31", 1.76 ], [ "2016-03-31", 1.87 ], [ "2016-06-30", 1.88 ], [ "2016-09-30", 1.96 ], [ "2016-12-31", 1.9 ], [ "2017-03-31", 1.85 ], [ "2017-06-30", 1.85 ], [ "2017-09-30", 1.8 ], [ "2017-12-31", 1.77 ], [ "2018-03-31", 1.78 ], [ "2018-06-30", 1.75 ], [ "2018-09-30", 1.75 ], [ "2018-12-31", 1.78 ], [ "2019-03-31", 1.76 ], [ "2019-06-30", 1.74 ], [ "2019-09-30", 1.82 ], [ "2019-12-31", 1.86 ], [ "2020-03-31", 1.85 ], [ "2020-06-30", 1.65 ], [ "2020-09-30", 1.04 ], [ "2020-12-31", 0.61 ], [ "2021-03-31", 0.14 ], [ "2021-06-30", 0.2 ], [ "2021-09-30", 0.4 ], [ "2021-12-31", 0.81 ], [ "2022-03-31", 1.48 ], [ "2022-06-30", 1.94 ], [ "2022-09-30", 2.7 ], [ "2022-12-31", 3.15 ], [ "2023-03-31", 3.43 ], [ "2023-06-30", 3.69 ], [ "2023-09-30", 3.81 ], [ "2023-12-31", 3.62 ], [ "2024-03-31", 3.46 ], [ "2024-06-30", 3.02 ], [ "2024-09-30", 2.63 ], [ "2024-12-31", 2.44 ], [ "2025-03-31", 2.31 ], [ "2025-06-30", 2.34 ], [ "2025-09-30", 2.37 ], [ "2025-12-31", 2.31 ], [ "2026-03-31", 2.27 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "National, state and territory population", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territory-population/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Building Activity, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/industry/building-and-construction/building-activity-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "Change in ABS estimated resident population over the latest 4 quarters, divided by the number of new dwellings completed over the same 4 quarters." }, { "id": "rents_vs_wages", "title": "Rents vs wages", "topic": "Housing", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "indirect", "latest": { "value": 24, "unit": "%", "period": "June quarter 2022 to June quarter 2026", "description": "rise in rents, against +15.1% for wages" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 24, "label": "+24.0%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 124 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 3.54, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 119.76 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 124 ] }, "labels": [ "June qtr 2022 = 100" ], "unit": "index", "series": [ { "name": "Rents (CPI), June qtr 2022 = 100", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2004-03-31", 61.58 ], [ "2004-06-30", 62.01 ], [ "2004-09-30", 62.31 ], [ "2004-12-31", 62.58 ], [ "2005-03-31", 62.88 ], [ "2005-06-30", 63.32 ], [ "2005-09-30", 63.7 ], [ "2005-12-31", 64.15 ], [ "2006-03-31", 64.64 ], [ "2006-06-30", 65.23 ], [ "2006-09-30", 65.86 ], [ "2006-12-31", 66.53 ], [ "2007-03-31", 67.47 ], [ "2007-06-30", 68.59 ], [ "2007-09-30", 69.68 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107.85 ], [ "2024-09-30", 109.28 ], [ "2024-12-31", 109.99 ], [ "2025-03-31", 110.85 ], [ "2025-06-30", 111.49 ], [ "2025-09-30", 112.99 ], [ "2025-12-31", 113.78 ], [ "2026-03-31", 114.42 ], [ "2026-06-30", 115.06 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Consumer Price Index, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/consumer-price-index-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Wage Price Index, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/wage-price-index-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "ABS CPI rents index and Wage Price Index, both rebased to June quarter 2022 = 100." }, { "id": "price_to_earnings", "title": "Home prices vs earnings", "topic": "Housing", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "indirect", "latest": { "value": 9.8, "unit": "", "period": "June quarter 2026", "description": "of average full-time earnings to buy the average home" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 1.658, "label": "+1.7%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 9.65 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 9.81 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 3.155, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 9.51 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 9.81 ] }, "labels": [ "Years of full-time pay" ], "unit": "", "series": [ { "name": "Average home price ÷ average full-time annual earnings", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2011-12-31", 6.73 ], [ "2012-06-30", 6.67 ], [ "2012-12-31", 6.55 ], [ "2013-06-30", 6.59 ], [ "2013-12-31", 6.83 ], [ "2014-06-30", 6.95 ], [ "2014-12-31", 7.09 ], [ "2015-06-30", 7.49 ], [ "2015-12-31", 7.54 ], [ "2016-06-30", 7.57 ], [ "2016-12-31", 7.85 ], [ "2017-06-30", 8.13 ], [ "2017-12-31", 8.13 ], [ "2018-06-30", 7.94 ], [ "2018-12-31", 7.62 ], [ "2019-06-30", 7.37 ], [ "2019-12-31", 7.67 ], [ "2020-06-30", 7.49 ], [ "2020-12-31", 8.03 ], [ "2021-06-30", 8.71 ], [ "2021-12-31", 9.72 ], [ "2022-06-30", 9.65 ], [ "2022-12-31", 9.12 ], [ "2023-06-30", 9.23 ], [ "2023-12-31", 9.32 ], [ "2024-06-30", 9.47 ], [ "2024-12-31", 9.42 ], [ "2025-06-30", 9.51 ], [ "2025-12-31", 9.87 ], [ "2026-06-30", 9.81 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Total Value of Dwellings", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/total-value-dwellings/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Average Weekly Earnings, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/labour/earnings-and-working-conditions/average-weekly-earnings-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "ABS mean price of residential dwellings divided by ABS full-time adult average weekly total earnings × 52. 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3.4 ], [ "2022-11-30", 3.5 ], [ "2022-12-31", 3.5 ], [ "2023-01-31", 3.7 ], [ "2023-02-28", 3.6 ], [ "2023-03-31", 3.6 ], [ "2023-04-30", 3.7 ], [ "2023-05-31", 3.6 ], [ "2023-06-30", 3.5 ], [ "2023-07-31", 3.7 ], [ "2023-08-31", 3.7 ], [ "2023-09-30", 3.6 ], [ "2023-10-31", 3.8 ], [ "2023-11-30", 3.9 ], [ "2023-12-31", 4 ], [ "2024-01-31", 4.1 ], [ "2024-02-29", 3.7 ], [ "2024-03-31", 3.9 ], [ "2024-04-30", 4.1 ], [ "2024-05-31", 4 ], [ "2024-06-30", 4.1 ], [ "2024-07-31", 4.2 ], [ "2024-08-31", 4.1 ], [ "2024-09-30", 4 ], [ "2024-10-31", 4.1 ], [ "2024-11-30", 3.9 ], [ "2024-12-31", 4 ], [ "2025-01-31", 4.1 ], [ "2025-02-28", 4.1 ], [ "2025-03-31", 4.1 ], [ "2025-04-30", 4.1 ], [ "2025-05-31", 4.1 ], [ "2025-06-30", 4.3 ], [ "2025-07-31", 4.3 ], [ "2025-08-31", 4.2 ], [ "2025-09-30", 4.4 ], [ "2025-10-31", 4.3 ], [ "2025-11-30", 4.3 ], [ "2025-12-31", 4.1 ], [ "2026-01-31", 4.1 ], [ "2026-02-28", 4.3 ], [ "2026-03-31", 4.3 ], [ "2026-04-30", 4.5 ], [ "2026-05-31", 4.4 ], [ "2026-06-30", 4.4 ], [ "2026-07-31", 4.5 ], [ "2026-08-31", 4.6 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Reserve Bank of Australia", "title": "Statistical Table H5 - Labour Force", "url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Labour Force, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/labour/employment-and-unemployment/labour-force-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate from the ABS Labour Force survey (via RBA Table H5), cross-checked against the ABS Data API." }, { "id": "public_private_jobs", "title": "Public vs private sector jobs", "topic": "Jobs, business & productivity", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "shared", "latest": { "value": 10.9, "unit": "%", "period": "June quarter 2022 → June quarter 2026", "description": "growth in public-sector jobs" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 10.92, "label": "+10.9%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 110.92 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 1.057, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 109.76 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 110.92 ] }, "labels": [ "Seasonally adjusted" ], "unit": "index", "series": [ { "name": "Public-sector jobs", "role": "accent", "points": [ [ "2010-09-30", 84.86 ], [ "2010-12-31", 85.23 ], [ "2011-03-31", 85.35 ], [ "2011-06-30", 84.16 ], [ "2011-09-30", 84.85 ], [ "2011-12-31", 83.2 ], [ "2012-03-31", 82.93 ], [ "2012-06-30", 84.11 ], [ "2012-09-30", 84.87 ], [ "2012-12-31", 85.39 ], [ "2013-03-31", 84.73 ], [ "2013-06-30", 86.03 ], [ "2013-09-30", 86.05 ], [ "2013-12-31", 86.11 ], [ "2014-03-31", 86.47 ], [ "2014-06-30", 86.25 ], [ "2014-09-30", 85.98 ], [ "2014-12-31", 87.71 ], [ "2015-03-31", 87.53 ], [ "2015-06-30", 87.69 ], [ "2015-09-30", 87.92 ], [ "2015-12-31", 89.08 ], [ "2016-03-31", 89.5 ], [ "2016-06-30", 90.29 ], [ "2016-09-30", 90.93 ], [ "2016-12-31", 91.01 ], [ "2017-03-31", 91.69 ], [ "2017-06-30", 91.75 ], [ "2017-09-30", 92.56 ], [ "2017-12-31", 93.22 ], [ "2018-03-31", 93.88 ], [ "2018-06-30", 93.57 ], [ "2018-09-30", 94.3 ], [ "2018-12-31", 94.87 ], [ "2019-03-31", 94.88 ], [ "2019-06-30", 95.25 ], [ "2019-09-30", 94.95 ], [ "2019-12-31", 94.18 ], [ "2020-03-31", 93.62 ], [ "2020-06-30", 91.52 ], [ "2020-09-30", 93.24 ], [ "2020-12-31", 96.2 ], [ "2021-03-31", 94.42 ], [ "2021-06-30", 96.31 ], [ "2021-09-30", 96.21 ], [ "2021-12-31", 99.71 ], [ "2022-03-31", 99.91 ], [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], [ "2022-09-30", 100.06 ], [ "2022-12-31", 100.99 ], [ "2023-03-31", 101.95 ], [ "2023-06-30", 102.3 ], [ "2023-09-30", 102.15 ], [ "2023-12-31", 103.25 ], [ "2024-03-31", 105.19 ], [ "2024-06-30", 107.29 ], [ "2024-09-30", 109.27 ], [ "2024-12-31", 109.47 ], [ "2025-03-31", 109.15 ], [ "2025-06-30", 109.76 ], [ "2025-09-30", 110.38 ], [ "2025-12-31", 110.49 ], [ "2026-03-31", 110.9 ], [ "2026-06-30", 110.92 ] ] }, { "name": "Private-sector jobs", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2010-09-30", 80.59 ], [ "2010-12-31", 81.35 ], [ "2011-03-31", 80.96 ], [ "2011-06-30", 81.25 ], [ "2011-09-30", 82.01 ], [ "2011-12-31", 82 ], [ "2012-03-31", 82.45 ], [ "2012-06-30", 82.43 ], [ "2012-09-30", 82.97 ], [ "2012-12-31", 83.2 ], [ "2013-03-31", 83.11 ], [ "2013-06-30", 83.32 ], [ "2013-09-30", 83.81 ], [ "2013-12-31", 82.9 ], [ "2014-03-31", 83.5 ], [ "2014-06-30", 83.54 ], [ "2014-09-30", 83.52 ], [ "2014-12-31", 84.28 ], [ "2015-03-31", 85.06 ], [ "2015-06-30", 85.56 ], [ "2015-09-30", 85.67 ], [ "2015-12-31", 86.94 ], [ "2016-03-31", 86.59 ], [ "2016-06-30", 86.76 ], [ "2016-09-30", 86.57 ], [ "2016-12-31", 87.3 ], [ "2017-03-31", 87.23 ], [ "2017-06-30", 88.4 ], [ "2017-09-30", 89.6 ], [ "2017-12-31", 89.66 ], [ "2018-03-31", 90.26 ], [ "2018-06-30", 91.26 ], [ "2018-09-30", 91.87 ], [ "2018-12-31", 92.62 ], [ "2019-03-31", 92.91 ], [ "2019-06-30", 93.24 ], [ "2019-09-30", 94.4 ], [ "2019-12-31", 94.69 ], [ "2020-03-31", 94.33 ], [ "2020-06-30", 88.22 ], [ "2020-09-30", 90.95 ], [ "2020-12-31", 93.08 ], [ "2021-03-31", 94.37 ], [ "2021-06-30", 95.36 ], [ "2021-09-30", 93.09 ], [ "2021-12-31", 96.82 ], [ "2022-03-31", 97.66 ], [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], [ "2022-09-30", 100.96 ], [ "2022-12-31", 101.95 ], [ "2023-03-31", 102.99 ], [ "2023-06-30", 103.91 ], [ "2023-09-30", 104.74 ], [ "2023-12-31", 104.81 ], [ "2024-03-31", 105.09 ], [ "2024-06-30", 105.23 ], [ "2024-09-30", 106.35 ], [ "2024-12-31", 106.68 ], [ "2025-03-31", 106.47 ], [ "2025-06-30", 106.58 ], [ "2025-09-30", 107.25 ], [ "2025-12-31", 107.81 ], [ "2026-03-31", 108.71 ], [ "2026-06-30", 109.63 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Labour Account Australia (quarterly)", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/labour/labour-accounts/labour-account-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "ABS Labour Account filled jobs by institutional sector (public = all levels of government and public corporations), seasonally adjusted. Growth measured from the June quarter 2022." }, { "id": "jobs_by_sector", "title": "Who is creating the jobs?", "topic": "Jobs, business & productivity", "kind": "context", "federal_influence": "shared", "latest": { "value": 52, "unit": "%", "period": "June quarter 2022 → June quarter 2026", "description": "of all new jobs were in health & social assistance (incl. NDIS), education and public administration" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": null, "change_over_year": null, "labels": [ "Seasonally adjusted" ], "unit": "'000 jobs", "series": [], "categories": [ { "name": "Health care & social assistance", "value": 453, "role": "accent" }, { "name": "Accommodation & food", "value": 225, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Education & training", "value": 220, "role": "accent" }, { "name": "Professional, scientific & technical", "value": 129, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Construction", "value": 125, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Public administration & safety", "value": 82, "role": "accent" }, { "name": "Retail trade", "value": 75, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Arts & recreation", "value": 48, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Transport, postal & warehousing", "value": 47, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Financial & insurance", "value": 31, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Mining", "value": 30, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Electricity, gas, water & waste", "value": 25, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Manufacturing", "value": 9, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Information media & telecoms", "value": 9, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Other services", "value": -1, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Rental, hiring & real estate", "value": -4, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Wholesale trade", "value": -8, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Agriculture, forestry & fishing", "value": -23, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "Administrative & support", "value": -30, "role": "muted" } ], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Labour Account Australia (quarterly)", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/labour/labour-accounts/labour-account-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Reserve Bank of Australia", "title": "Statement on Monetary Policy, November 2024, Box D", "url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/2024/nov/box-d-annual-review-of-the-forecasts.html", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "Change in ABS Labour Account filled jobs in each of the 19 ANZSIC industry divisions between the June quarter 2022 and the latest quarter. 'Non-market' = Health Care & Social Assistance + Education & Training + Public Administration & Safety. (The ABS ceased the Labour Force, Detailed industry tables in April 2026; the Labour Account is the continuing official quarterly source.)" }, { "id": "productivity", "title": "Productivity", "topic": "Jobs, business & productivity", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "indirect", "latest": { "value": -0.86, "unit": "%", "period": "June quarter 2022 → June quarter 2026", "description": "average annual productivity growth since the government took office" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "down", "change": -3.401, "label": "−3.4%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 102.9 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 99.4 ], "starting_point_note": "Measured productivity was temporarily lifted during the pandemic, so the mid-2022 starting point was unusually high." }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "steady", "change": -0.301, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 99.7 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 99.4 ] }, "labels": [ "Seasonally adjusted", "Real" ], "unit": "index", "series": [ { "name": "Non-farm labour productivity per hour", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2004-03-31", 87.2 ], [ "2004-06-30", 87.7 ], [ "2004-09-30", 88.2 ], [ "2004-12-31", 87.5 ], [ "2005-03-31", 86.7 ], [ "2005-06-30", 86.1 ], [ "2005-09-30", 86.8 ], [ "2005-12-31", 87.8 ], [ "2006-03-31", 87.5 ], [ "2006-06-30", 86.9 ], [ "2006-09-30", 87.6 ], [ "2006-12-31", 87.9 ], [ "2007-03-31", 88.9 ], [ "2007-06-30", 88.6 ], [ "2007-09-30", 89 ], [ "2007-12-31", 88.4 ], [ "2008-03-31", 88.5 ], [ "2008-06-30", 87.6 ], [ "2008-09-30", 87.7 ], [ "2008-12-31", 87.7 ], [ "2009-03-31", 89.1 ], [ "2009-06-30", 90.4 ], [ "2009-09-30", 90.6 ], [ "2009-12-31", 90.5 ], [ "2010-03-31", 90.8 ], [ "2010-06-30", 90.1 ], [ "2010-09-30", 90.5 ], [ "2010-12-31", 90.2 ], [ "2011-03-31", 89.5 ], [ "2011-06-30", 90.8 ], [ "2011-09-30", 91.8 ], [ "2011-12-31", 92.3 ], [ "2012-03-31", 92.7 ], [ "2012-06-30", 93.7 ], [ "2012-09-30", 94.5 ], [ "2012-12-31", 94.5 ], [ "2013-03-31", 94.9 ], [ "2013-06-30", 94.4 ], [ "2013-09-30", 95.2 ], [ "2013-12-31", 96.4 ], [ "2014-03-31", 97.6 ], [ "2014-06-30", 97.3 ], [ "2014-09-30", 97.4 ], [ "2014-12-31", 97.9 ], [ "2015-03-31", 97.6 ], [ "2015-06-30", 97.6 ], [ "2015-09-30", 98 ], [ "2015-12-31", 98.4 ], [ "2016-03-31", 99 ], [ "2016-06-30", 99.6 ], [ "2016-09-30", 99.3 ], [ "2016-12-31", 99.9 ], [ "2017-03-31", 99 ], [ "2017-06-30", 98.9 ], [ "2017-09-30", 99.1 ], [ "2017-12-31", 99 ], [ "2018-03-31", 99.8 ], [ "2018-06-30", 99.6 ], [ "2018-09-30", 99.4 ], [ "2018-12-31", 99.6 ], [ "2019-03-31", 99.2 ], [ "2019-06-30", 99.8 ], [ "2019-09-30", 99.8 ], [ "2019-12-31", 100.5 ], [ "2020-03-31", 101.7 ], [ "2020-06-30", 103.1 ], [ "2020-09-30", 102 ], [ "2020-12-31", 102.1 ], [ "2021-03-31", 103.5 ], [ "2021-06-30", 102.3 ], [ "2021-09-30", 103.2 ], [ "2021-12-31", 104.2 ], [ "2022-03-31", 105.4 ], [ "2022-06-30", 102.9 ], [ "2022-09-30", 101.6 ], [ "2022-12-31", 100.1 ], [ "2023-03-31", 99.5 ], [ "2023-06-30", 98.3 ], [ "2023-09-30", 99.5 ], [ "2023-12-31", 100.2 ], [ "2024-03-31", 100.5 ], [ "2024-06-30", 99.8 ], [ "2024-09-30", 99.1 ], [ "2024-12-31", 99.1 ], [ "2025-03-31", 99.4 ], [ "2025-06-30", 99.7 ], [ "2025-09-30", 99.8 ], [ "2025-12-31", 100 ], [ "2026-03-31", 99.4 ], [ "2026-06-30", 99.4 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Reserve Bank of Australia", "title": "Statistical Table H4 - Labour Costs and Productivity", "url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Productivity Commission", "title": "Quarterly productivity bulletin, June 2026", "url": "https://www.pc.gov.au/ongoing/productivity-insights/bulletins/quarterly-bulletin-june-2026/", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "ABS national accounts non-farm GDP per hour worked (RBA Table H4). Annualised growth rates are compound averages between the quarters shown." }, { "id": "insolvencies", "title": "Business collapses", "topic": "Jobs, business & productivity", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "indirect", "latest": { "value": 14722, "unit": "", "period": "2024-25 financial year", "description": "companies entering external administration for the first time" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 199.715, "label": "+199.7%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 4912 ], "to": [ "2025-06-30", 14722 ], "starting_point_note": "Insolvencies in 2021-22 were unusually low because of pandemic support and a pause in tax-debt collection." }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 33.195, "from": [ "2024-06-30", 11053 ], "to": [ "2025-06-30", 14722 ] }, "labels": [ "Financial-year totals" ], "unit": "companies", "series": [ { "name": "Companies entering external administration", "role": "accent", "points": [ [ "2019-06-30", 8105 ], [ "2020-06-30", 7362 ], [ "2021-06-30", 4235 ], [ "2022-06-30", 4912 ], [ "2023-06-30", 7942 ], [ "2024-06-30", 11053 ], [ "2025-06-30", 14722 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "ASIC", "title": "Insolvency statistics Series 1 (published 8 September 2022)", "url": "https://download.asic.gov.au/media/250lwzrf/asic-insolvency-statistics-series-1-published-8-september-2022.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "ASIC", "title": "Corporate Insolvency Update, Issue 37", "url": "https://www.asic.gov.au/about-asic/corporate-publications/newsletters/asic-corporate-insolvency-update/asic-corporate-insolvency-update-issue-37", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "ASIC", "title": "Corporate Insolvency Update, Issue 40 (June 2026)", "url": "https://www.asic.gov.au/about-asic/corporate-publications/newsletters/asic-corporate-insolvency-update/asic-corporate-insolvency-update-issue-40-june-2026", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "ASIC Series 1: companies entering external administration or having a controller appointed for the first time, by financial year." }, { "id": "consumer_confidence", "title": "Consumer confidence", "topic": "Living standards", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "indirect", "latest": { "value": 80.4, "unit": "", "period": "October 2026", "description": "consumer sentiment index (100 = optimists equal pessimists)" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "down", "change": -6.637, "label": "−6.6%", "from": [ "2022-05-31", 90.4 ], "to": [ "2026-09-30", 84.4 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "down", "change": -11.53, "from": [ "2025-09-30", 95.4 ], "to": [ "2026-09-30", 84.4 ] }, "labels": [ "Survey index" ], "unit": "index", "series": [ { "name": "Westpac-Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2010-01-31", 120.1 ], [ "2010-02-28", 117 ], [ "2010-03-31", 117.3 ], [ "2010-04-30", 116.1 ], [ "2010-05-31", 108 ], [ "2010-06-30", 101.9 ], [ "2010-07-31", 113.1 ], [ "2010-08-31", 119.2 ], [ "2010-09-30", 113.2 ], [ "2010-10-31", 117 ], [ "2010-11-30", 110.7 ], [ "2010-12-31", 111 ], [ "2011-01-31", 104.6 ], [ "2011-02-28", 106.6 ], [ "2011-03-31", 104.1 ], [ "2011-04-30", 105.3 ], [ "2011-05-31", 103.9 ], [ "2011-06-30", 101.2 ], [ "2011-07-31", 92.8 ], [ "2011-08-31", 89.6 ], [ "2011-09-30", 96.9 ], [ "2011-10-31", 97.2 ], [ "2011-11-30", 103.4 ], [ "2011-12-31", 94.7 ], [ "2012-01-31", 97.1 ], [ "2012-02-29", 101.1 ], [ "2012-03-31", 96.1 ], [ "2012-04-30", 94.5 ], [ "2012-05-31", 95.3 ], [ "2012-06-30", 95.6 ], [ "2012-07-31", 99.1 ], [ "2012-08-31", 96.6 ], [ "2012-09-30", 98.2 ], [ "2012-10-31", 99.2 ], [ "2012-11-30", 104.3 ], [ "2012-12-31", 100 ], [ "2013-01-31", 100.6 ], [ "2013-02-28", 108.3 ], [ "2013-03-31", 110.5 ], [ "2013-04-30", 104.9 ], [ "2013-05-31", 97.6 ], [ "2013-06-30", 102.2 ], [ "2013-07-31", 102.1 ], [ "2013-08-31", 105.7 ], [ "2013-09-30", 110.6 ], [ "2013-10-31", 108.3 ], [ "2013-11-30", 110.3 ], [ "2013-12-31", 105 ], [ "2014-01-31", 103.3 ], [ "2014-02-28", 100.2 ], [ "2014-03-31", 99.5 ], [ "2014-04-30", 99.7 ], [ "2014-05-31", 92.9 ], [ "2014-06-30", 93.2 ], [ "2014-07-31", 94.9 ], [ "2014-08-31", 98.5 ], [ "2014-09-30", 94 ], [ "2014-10-31", 94.8 ], [ "2014-11-30", 96.6 ], [ "2014-12-31", 91.1 ], [ "2015-01-31", 93.2 ], [ "2015-02-28", 100.7 ], [ "2015-03-31", 99.5 ], [ "2015-04-30", 96.2 ], [ "2015-05-31", 102.4 ], [ "2015-06-30", 95.3 ], [ "2015-07-31", 92.2 ], [ "2015-08-31", 99.5 ], [ "2015-09-30", 93.9 ], [ "2015-10-31", 97.8 ], [ "2015-11-30", 101.7 ], [ "2015-12-31", 100.8 ], [ "2016-01-31", 97.3 ], [ "2016-02-29", 101.3 ], [ "2016-03-31", 99.1 ], [ "2016-04-30", 95.1 ], [ "2016-05-31", 103.2 ], [ "2016-06-30", 102.2 ], [ "2016-07-31", 99.1 ], [ "2016-08-31", 101 ], [ "2016-09-30", 101.4 ], [ "2016-10-31", 102.4 ], [ "2016-11-30", 101.3 ], [ "2016-12-31", 97.3 ], [ "2017-01-31", 97.4 ], [ "2017-02-28", 99.6 ], [ "2017-03-31", 99.7 ], [ "2017-04-30", 99 ], [ "2017-05-31", 98 ], [ "2017-06-30", 96.2 ], [ "2017-07-31", 96.6 ], [ "2017-08-31", 95.5 ], [ "2017-09-30", 97.9 ], [ "2017-10-31", 101.4 ], [ "2017-11-30", 99.7 ], [ "2017-12-31", 103.3 ], [ "2018-01-31", 105.1 ], [ "2018-02-28", 102.7 ], [ "2018-03-31", 103 ], [ "2018-04-30", 102.4 ], [ "2018-05-31", 101.8 ], [ "2018-06-30", 102.1 ], [ "2018-07-31", 106.1 ], [ "2018-08-31", 103.6 ], [ "2018-09-30", 100.5 ], [ "2018-10-31", 101.5 ], [ "2018-11-30", 104.3 ], [ "2018-12-31", 104.4 ], [ "2019-01-31", 99.6 ], [ "2019-02-28", 103.8 ], [ "2019-03-31", 98.8 ], [ "2019-04-30", 100.7 ], [ "2019-05-31", 101.3 ], [ "2019-06-30", 100.7 ], [ "2019-07-31", 96.5 ], [ "2019-08-31", 100 ], [ "2019-09-30", 98.2 ], [ "2019-10-31", 92.8 ], [ "2019-11-30", 97 ], [ "2019-12-31", 95.1 ], [ "2020-01-31", 93.4 ], [ "2020-02-29", 95.5 ], [ "2020-03-31", 91.9 ], [ "2020-04-30", 75.6 ], [ "2020-05-31", 88.1 ], [ "2020-06-30", 93.7 ], [ "2020-07-31", 87.9 ], [ "2020-08-31", 79.5 ], [ "2020-09-30", 93.8 ], [ "2020-10-31", 105 ], [ "2020-11-30", 107.7 ], [ "2020-12-31", 112 ], [ "2021-01-31", 107 ], [ "2021-02-28", 109.1 ], [ "2021-03-31", 111.8 ], [ "2021-04-30", 118.8 ], [ "2021-05-31", 113.1 ], [ "2021-06-30", 107.2 ], [ "2021-07-31", 108.8 ], [ "2021-08-31", 104.1 ], [ "2021-09-30", 106.2 ], [ "2021-10-31", 104.6 ], [ "2021-11-30", 105.3 ], [ "2021-12-31", 104.3 ], [ "2022-01-31", 102.2 ], [ "2022-02-28", 100.8 ], [ "2022-03-31", 96.6 ], [ "2022-04-30", 95.8 ], [ "2022-05-31", 90.4 ], [ "2022-06-30", 86.4 ], [ "2022-07-31", 83.8 ], [ "2022-08-31", 81.2 ], [ "2022-09-30", 84.4 ], [ "2022-10-31", 83.7 ], [ "2022-11-30", 78 ], [ "2022-12-31", 80.3 ], [ "2023-01-31", 84.3 ], [ "2023-02-28", 78.5 ], [ "2023-03-31", 78.5 ], [ "2023-04-30", 85.8 ], [ "2023-05-31", 79 ], [ "2023-06-30", 79.2 ], [ "2023-07-31", 81.3 ], [ "2023-08-31", 81 ], [ "2023-09-30", 79.7 ], [ "2023-10-31", 82 ], [ "2023-11-30", 79.9 ], [ "2023-12-31", 82.1 ], [ "2024-01-31", 81 ], [ "2024-02-29", 86 ], [ "2024-03-31", 84.4 ], [ "2024-04-30", 82.4 ], [ "2024-05-31", 82.2 ], [ "2024-06-30", 83.6 ], [ "2024-07-31", 82.7 ], [ "2024-08-31", 85 ], [ "2024-09-30", 84.6 ], [ "2024-10-31", 89.8 ], [ "2024-11-30", 94.6 ], [ "2024-12-31", 92.8 ], [ "2025-01-31", 92.1 ], [ "2025-02-28", 92.2 ], [ "2025-03-31", 95.9 ], [ "2025-04-30", 90.1 ], [ "2025-05-31", 92.1 ], [ "2025-06-30", 92.6 ], [ "2025-07-31", 93.1 ], [ "2025-08-31", 98.5 ], [ "2025-09-30", 95.4 ], [ "2025-10-31", 92.1 ], [ "2025-11-30", 103.8 ], [ "2025-12-31", 94.5 ], [ "2026-01-31", 92.9 ], [ "2026-02-28", 90.5 ], [ "2026-03-31", 91.6 ], [ "2026-04-30", 80.1 ], [ "2026-05-31", 83 ], [ "2026-06-30", 80.6 ], [ "2026-07-31", 83.9 ], [ "2026-08-31", 88.9 ], [ "2026-09-30", 84.4 ], [ "2026-10-31", 80.4 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Reserve Bank of Australia", "title": "Statistical Table H3 - Monthly Activity Indicators", "url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "Westpac-Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment, seasonally adjusted, as republished in RBA Table H3. An index above 100 means more consumers are optimistic than pessimistic." }, { "id": "gdp_per_capita", "title": "GDP per capita vs total GDP", "topic": "Living standards", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "indirect", "latest": { "value": -0.3, "unit": "%", "period": "June quarter 2022 → June quarter 2026", "description": "change in real GDP per person since the government took office, while total GDP grew +7.4%" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "steady", "change": -0.25, "label": "−0.3%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 99.75 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "steady", "change": 0.686, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 99.07 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 99.75 ] }, "labels": [ "Seasonally adjusted", "Real (after inflation)", "June quarter 2022 = 100" ], "unit": "index", "series": [ { "name": "GDP per capita", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2004-03-31", 80.75 ], [ "2004-06-30", 81.15 ], [ "2004-09-30", 81.45 ], [ "2004-12-31", 81.83 ], [ "2005-03-31", 82.24 ], [ "2005-06-30", 82.36 ], [ "2005-09-30", 82.97 ], [ "2005-12-31", 83.35 ], [ "2006-03-31", 83.13 ], [ "2006-06-30", 83.1 ], [ "2006-09-30", 83.97 ], [ "2006-12-31", 84.64 ], [ "2007-03-31", 85.4 ], [ "2007-06-30", 85.56 ], [ "2007-09-30", 86.17 ], [ "2007-12-31", 86.07 ], [ "2008-03-31", 86.57 ], [ "2008-06-30", 86.42 ], [ "2008-09-30", 86.53 ], [ "2008-12-31", 85.7 ], [ "2009-03-31", 86.13 ], [ "2009-06-30", 86.28 ], [ "2009-09-30", 86.17 ], [ "2009-12-31", 86.53 ], [ "2010-03-31", 86.61 ], [ "2010-06-30", 86.85 ], [ "2010-09-30", 87.15 ], [ "2010-12-31", 87.58 ], [ "2011-03-31", 87.03 ], [ "2011-06-30", 87.77 ], [ "2011-09-30", 88.6 ], [ "2011-12-31", 89.2 ], [ "2012-03-31", 89.75 ], [ "2012-06-30", 89.99 ], [ "2012-09-30", 90.12 ], [ "2012-12-31", 90.11 ], [ "2013-03-31", 90.23 ], [ "2013-06-30", 90.18 ], [ "2013-09-30", 90.55 ], [ "2013-12-31", 90.92 ], [ "2014-03-31", 91.3 ], [ "2014-06-30", 91.42 ], [ "2014-09-30", 91.46 ], [ "2014-12-31", 91.45 ], [ "2015-03-31", 92.02 ], [ "2015-06-30", 91.79 ], [ "2015-09-30", 92.36 ], [ "2015-12-31", 92.57 ], [ "2016-03-31", 93.06 ], [ "2016-06-30", 93.27 ], [ "2016-09-30", 92.88 ], [ "2016-12-31", 93.56 ], [ "2017-03-31", 93.49 ], [ "2017-06-30", 93.65 ], [ "2017-09-30", 94.19 ], [ "2017-12-31", 94.24 ], [ "2018-03-31", 94.88 ], [ "2018-06-30", 95.17 ], [ "2018-09-30", 95.14 ], [ "2018-12-31", 95.03 ], [ "2019-03-31", 95.44 ], [ "2019-06-30", 95.35 ], [ "2019-09-30", 95.51 ], [ "2019-12-31", 95.72 ], [ "2020-03-31", 95.29 ], [ "2020-06-30", 88.67 ], [ "2020-09-30", 91.77 ], [ "2020-12-31", 94.89 ], [ "2021-03-31", 97.06 ], [ "2021-06-30", 97.59 ], [ "2021-09-30", 95.79 ], [ "2021-12-31", 99.02 ], [ "2022-03-31", 99.59 ], [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], [ "2022-09-30", 99.88 ], [ "2022-12-31", 100.12 ], [ "2023-03-31", 100.07 ], [ "2023-06-30", 99.78 ], [ "2023-09-30", 99.53 ], [ "2023-12-31", 99.05 ], [ "2024-03-31", 98.93 ], [ "2024-06-30", 98.72 ], [ "2024-09-30", 98.62 ], [ "2024-12-31", 98.69 ], [ "2025-03-31", 98.68 ], [ "2025-06-30", 99.07 ], [ "2025-09-30", 99.2 ], [ "2025-12-31", 99.76 ], [ "2026-03-31", 99.71 ], [ "2026-06-30", 99.75 ] ] }, { "name": "Total GDP", "role": "accent", "points": [ [ "2004-03-31", 61.71 ], [ "2004-06-30", 62.17 ], [ "2004-09-30", 62.59 ], [ "2004-12-31", 63.06 ], [ "2005-03-31", 63.58 ], [ "2005-06-30", 63.87 ], [ "2005-09-30", 64.56 ], [ "2005-12-31", 65.09 ], [ "2006-03-31", 65.14 ], [ "2006-06-30", 65.32 ], [ "2006-09-30", 66.3 ], [ "2006-12-31", 67.12 ], [ "2007-03-31", 68.04 ], [ "2007-06-30", 68.5 ], [ "2007-09-30", 69.3 ], [ "2007-12-31", 69.54 ], [ "2008-03-31", 70.32 ], [ "2008-06-30", 70.58 ], [ "2008-09-30", 71.06 ], [ "2008-12-31", 70.75 ], [ "2009-03-31", 71.47 ], [ "2009-06-30", 71.94 ], [ "2009-09-30", 72.16 ], [ "2009-12-31", 72.74 ], [ "2010-03-31", 73.08 ], [ "2010-06-30", 73.54 ], [ "2010-09-30", 74.03 ], [ "2010-12-31", 74.65 ], [ "2011-03-31", 74.45 ], [ "2011-06-30", 75.36 ], [ "2011-09-30", 76.39 ], [ "2011-12-31", 77.23 ], [ "2012-03-31", 78.06 ], [ "2012-06-30", 78.62 ], [ "2012-09-30", 79.08 ], [ "2012-12-31", 79.43 ], [ "2013-03-31", 79.86 ], [ "2013-06-30", 80.16 ], [ "2013-09-30", 80.81 ], [ "2013-12-31", 81.44 ], [ "2014-03-31", 82.09 ], [ "2014-06-30", 82.48 ], [ "2014-09-30", 82.82 ], [ "2014-12-31", 83.12 ], [ "2015-03-31", 83.94 ], [ "2015-06-30", 84.02 ], [ "2015-09-30", 84.85 ], [ "2015-12-31", 85.37 ], [ "2016-03-31", 86.16 ], [ "2016-06-30", 86.71 ], [ "2016-09-30", 86.72 ], [ "2016-12-31", 87.72 ], [ "2017-03-31", 88.01 ], [ "2017-06-30", 88.52 ], [ "2017-09-30", 89.36 ], [ "2017-12-31", 89.71 ], [ "2018-03-31", 90.67 ], [ "2018-06-30", 91.31 ], [ "2018-09-30", 91.66 ], [ "2018-12-31", 91.88 ], [ "2019-03-31", 92.6 ], [ "2019-06-30", 92.84 ], [ "2019-09-30", 93.37 ], [ "2019-12-31", 93.92 ], [ "2020-03-31", 93.78 ], [ "2020-06-30", 87.41 ], [ "2020-09-30", 90.41 ], [ "2020-12-31", 93.51 ], [ "2021-03-31", 95.62 ], [ "2021-06-30", 96.33 ], [ "2021-09-30", 94.64 ], [ "2021-12-31", 98.12 ], [ "2022-03-31", 99.1 ], [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], [ "2022-09-30", 100.46 ], [ "2022-12-31", 101.31 ], [ "2023-03-31", 101.89 ], [ "2023-06-30", 102.25 ], [ "2023-09-30", 102.63 ], [ "2023-12-31", 102.66 ], [ "2024-03-31", 103.01 ], [ "2024-06-30", 103.19 ], [ "2024-09-30", 103.47 ], [ "2024-12-31", 103.92 ], [ "2025-03-31", 104.33 ], [ "2025-06-30", 105.15 ], [ "2025-09-30", 105.67 ], [ "2025-12-31", 106.64 ], [ "2026-03-31", 106.94 ], [ "2026-06-30", 107.39 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Australian National Accounts: National Income, Expenditure and Product", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/national-accounts/australian-national-accounts-national-income-expenditure-and-product/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Reserve Bank of Australia", "title": "Statistical Table H1 - Gross Domestic Product and Income", "url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Media release: Australian economy grew 0.6 per cent in December quarter (2024)", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/media-centre/media-releases/australian-economy-grew-06-cent-december-quarter", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "Real (chain volume) GDP and real GDP per capita, seasonally adjusted, from the ABS national accounts key aggregates, each rebased so the June quarter 2022 equals 100. Year-ended growth calculated from these levels is cross-checked against the rates the RBA publishes in Table H1." }, { "id": "household_income", "title": "Household income per person", "topic": "Living standards", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "shared", "latest": { "value": -2.2, "unit": "%", "period": "March quarter 2026", "description": "change in real disposable income per person since June quarter 2022" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "down", "change": -2.16, "label": "−2.2%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], "to": [ "2026-03-31", 97.84 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "steady", "change": 0.462, "from": [ "2025-03-31", 97.39 ], "to": [ "2026-03-31", 97.84 ] }, "labels": [ "Seasonally adjusted", "Real, per person" ], "unit": "index", "series": [ { "name": "Real household disposable income per person (June qtr 2022 = 100)", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2004-03-31", 71.31 ], [ "2004-06-30", 73.94 ], [ "2004-09-30", 73.01 ], [ "2004-12-31", 74.49 ], [ "2005-03-31", 74.96 ], [ "2005-06-30", 76.05 ], [ "2005-09-30", 75.85 ], [ "2005-12-31", 75.16 ], [ "2006-03-31", 75.66 ], [ "2006-06-30", 75.34 ], [ "2006-09-30", 77.74 ], [ "2006-12-31", 78.72 ], [ "2007-03-31", 79.35 ], [ "2007-06-30", 80.43 ], [ "2007-09-30", 80.58 ], [ "2007-12-31", 81.52 ], [ "2008-03-31", 82.48 ], [ "2008-06-30", 82.65 ], [ "2008-09-30", 82.7 ], [ "2008-12-31", 86.98 ], [ "2009-03-31", 85.04 ], [ "2009-06-30", 87.01 ], [ "2009-09-30", 84.45 ], [ "2009-12-31", 85.05 ], [ "2010-03-31", 85.61 ], [ "2010-06-30", 85.69 ], [ "2010-09-30", 87.25 ], [ "2010-12-31", 89.26 ], [ "2011-03-31", 89.84 ], [ "2011-06-30", 89.6 ], [ "2011-09-30", 90.09 ], [ "2011-12-31", 90.91 ], [ "2012-03-31", 89.84 ], [ "2012-06-30", 90.51 ], [ "2012-09-30", 88.23 ], [ "2012-12-31", 89.01 ], [ "2013-03-31", 89.68 ], [ "2013-06-30", 89.52 ], [ "2013-09-30", 89.56 ], [ "2013-12-31", 90.43 ], [ "2014-03-31", 90.71 ], [ "2014-06-30", 91.69 ], [ "2014-09-30", 91.85 ], [ "2014-12-31", 92.36 ], [ "2015-03-31", 92.09 ], [ "2015-06-30", 92.69 ], [ "2015-09-30", 92.59 ], [ "2015-12-31", 91.42 ], [ "2016-03-31", 91.68 ], [ "2016-06-30", 92.19 ], [ "2016-09-30", 92.27 ], [ "2016-12-31", 92.18 ], [ "2017-03-31", 92.27 ], [ "2017-06-30", 91.94 ], [ "2017-09-30", 92.03 ], [ "2017-12-31", 93.03 ], [ "2018-03-31", 92.96 ], [ "2018-06-30", 93.22 ], [ "2018-09-30", 93.22 ], [ "2018-12-31", 93.71 ], [ "2019-03-31", 93.73 ], [ "2019-06-30", 93 ], [ "2019-09-30", 94.62 ], [ "2019-12-31", 93.84 ], [ "2020-03-31", 94.56 ], [ "2020-06-30", 97.95 ], [ "2020-09-30", 100.89 ], [ "2020-12-31", 98.3 ], [ "2021-03-31", 99.57 ], [ "2021-06-30", 98.25 ], [ "2021-09-30", 103.56 ], [ "2021-12-31", 101.29 ], [ "2022-03-31", 101.35 ], [ "2022-06-30", 100 ], [ "2022-09-30", 99.81 ], [ "2022-12-31", 96.71 ], [ "2023-03-31", 95.15 ], [ "2023-06-30", 94.73 ], [ "2023-09-30", 93.88 ], [ "2023-12-31", 94.84 ], [ "2024-03-31", 94.36 ], [ "2024-06-30", 94.14 ], [ "2024-09-30", 95.32 ], [ "2024-12-31", 96.19 ], [ "2025-03-31", 97.39 ], [ "2025-06-30", 97.24 ], [ "2025-09-30", 97.43 ], [ "2025-12-31", 98.58 ], [ "2026-03-31", 97.84 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Reserve Bank of Australia", "title": "Statistical Table H2 - Demand and Income", "url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "National, state and territory population", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territory-population/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "Real household disposable income ($m, chain volume, seasonally adjusted; RBA Table H2) divided by ABS estimated resident population, annualised (×4) and rebased to June quarter 2022 = 100. Limited to the latest quarter for which both series are available." }, { "id": "living_standards_decades", "title": "Living standards by decade", "topic": "Living standards", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "indirect", "latest": { "value": 1, "unit": "%", "period": "2020 to June quarter 2026", "description": "average yearly growth in real national income per person in the 2020s so far" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": null, "change_over_year": null, "labels": [ "Average yearly growth" ], "unit": "%", "series": [], "categories": [ { "name": "1970s (from 1974)", "value": 0.3, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "1980s", "value": 1.5, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "1990s", "value": 1.7, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "2000s", "value": 2.3, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "2010s", "value": 1.3, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "2020s (so far)", "value": 1, "role": "primary" } ], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Australian National Accounts: Key aggregates", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/national-accounts/australian-national-accounts-national-income-expenditure-and-product/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "Year-on-year growth in ABS real net national disposable income per capita (chain volume, seasonally adjusted, quarterly), averaged over each calendar decade. The 1970s average starts in the year the series begins." }, { "id": "bulk_billing", "title": "GP bulk billing", "topic": "Living standards", "kind": "target", "federal_influence": "direct", "latest": { "value": 84.1, "unit": "%", "period": "June quarter 2026", "description": "of GP visits bulk billed" }, "verdict": { "verdict": "in_progress", "reason": "At 84.1% and rising; the deadline is 2030.", "commitment": "9 in 10 GP visits bulk billed by 2030.", "rule": "Met at 90% or more. Before the 2030 deadline it is “in progress” while the rate is rising, and “at risk” if it is flat or falling." }, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "down", "change": -7.4, "label": "−7.4 pts", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 88.3 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 80.9 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 3, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 77.9 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 80.9 ] }, "labels": [ "Medicare statistics" ], "unit": "%", "series": [ { "name": "GP bulk billing rate (annual)", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2022-06-30", 88.3 ], [ "2023-06-30", 80.2 ], [ "2024-06-30", 77.3 ], [ "2025-06-30", 77.9 ], [ "2026-06-30", 80.9 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Department of Health, Disability and Ageing", "title": "Medicare annual statistics: state and territory, 2009-10 to 2025-26", "url": "https://www.health.gov.au/resources/publications/medicare-annual-statistics-state-and-territory-2009-10-to-2025-26", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Minister for Health (Mark Butler)", "title": "Strengthening Medicare: bulk billing on the up", "url": "https://www.health.gov.au/ministers/the-hon-mark-butler-mp/media/strengthening-medicare-bulk-billing-on-the-up", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Prime Minister of Australia", "title": "Delivering bulk billing for all Australians", "url": "https://www.pm.gov.au/media/delivering-bulk-billing-all-australians", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "Share of non-referred GP attendances that were bulk billed, by financial year (Medicare statistics). Latest quarterly rate from the Health Minister's release." }, { "id": "government_size", "title": "Size of government in the economy", "topic": "Budget, debt & the size of government", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "shared", "latest": { "value": 28.8, "unit": "%", "period": "June quarter 2026", "description": "of the economy is public demand" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 2.9, "label": "+2.9 pts", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 25.9 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 28.8 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "steady", "change": 0.2, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 28.6 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 28.8 ] }, "labels": [ "Seasonally adjusted", "All levels of government" ], "unit": "%", "series": [ { "name": "Public demand share of output", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2000-03-31", 24 ], [ "2000-06-30", 23.9 ], [ "2000-09-30", 23.3 ], [ "2000-12-31", 23.2 ], [ "2001-03-31", 23.3 ], [ "2001-06-30", 23 ], [ "2001-09-30", 23.3 ], [ "2001-12-31", 22.8 ], [ "2002-03-31", 22.8 ], [ "2002-06-30", 22.8 ], [ "2002-09-30", 22.9 ], [ "2002-12-31", 22.9 ], [ "2003-03-31", 23 ], [ "2003-06-30", 22.7 ], [ "2003-09-30", 22.4 ], [ "2003-12-31", 22.5 ], [ "2004-03-31", 22.2 ], [ "2004-06-30", 22.7 ], [ "2004-09-30", 22.6 ], [ "2004-12-31", 22.8 ], [ "2005-03-31", 22.7 ], [ "2005-06-30", 23.1 ], [ "2005-09-30", 22.9 ], [ "2005-12-31", 23.1 ], [ "2006-03-31", 23.1 ], [ "2006-06-30", 23 ], [ "2006-09-30", 23.4 ], [ "2006-12-31", 22.8 ], [ "2007-03-31", 22.5 ], [ "2007-06-30", 22.7 ], [ "2007-09-30", 22.5 ], [ "2007-12-31", 23.2 ], [ "2008-03-31", 23.2 ], [ "2008-06-30", 23.3 ], [ "2008-09-30", 23.2 ], [ "2008-12-31", 23.5 ], [ "2009-03-31", 23.5 ], [ "2009-06-30", 24 ], [ "2009-09-30", 24.7 ], [ "2009-12-31", 24.9 ], [ "2010-03-31", 25.4 ], [ "2010-06-30", 24.5 ], [ "2010-09-30", 24.3 ], [ "2010-12-31", 24.3 ], [ "2011-03-31", 24.3 ], [ "2011-06-30", 23.9 ], [ "2011-09-30", 23.7 ], [ "2011-12-31", 24 ], [ "2012-03-31", 23.6 ], [ "2012-06-30", 24.3 ], [ "2012-09-30", 23.8 ], [ "2012-12-31", 23.4 ], [ "2013-03-31", 23.7 ], [ "2013-06-30", 23.3 ], [ "2013-09-30", 23.3 ], [ "2013-12-31", 23.4 ], [ "2014-03-31", 23 ], [ "2014-06-30", 22.9 ], [ "2014-09-30", 23.1 ], [ "2014-12-31", 23 ], [ "2015-03-31", 23.3 ], [ "2015-06-30", 23.7 ], [ "2015-09-30", 23.8 ], [ "2015-12-31", 24.3 ], [ "2016-03-31", 24.7 ], [ "2016-06-30", 24.7 ], [ "2016-09-30", 24.7 ], [ "2016-12-31", 24.2 ], [ "2017-03-31", 24.1 ], [ "2017-06-30", 24.7 ], [ "2017-09-30", 24.6 ], [ "2017-12-31", 24.9 ], [ "2018-03-31", 24.9 ], [ "2018-06-30", 24.7 ], [ "2018-09-30", 25.1 ], [ "2018-12-31", 25.3 ], [ "2019-03-31", 25.2 ], [ "2019-06-30", 25.6 ], [ "2019-09-30", 25.7 ], [ "2019-12-31", 26.1 ], [ "2020-03-31", 26.6 ], [ "2020-06-30", 29 ], [ "2020-09-30", 28.4 ], [ "2020-12-31", 27.6 ], [ "2021-03-31", 26.7 ], [ "2021-06-30", 26.4 ], [ "2021-09-30", 27.5 ], [ "2021-12-31", 27.1 ], [ "2022-03-31", 26.9 ], [ "2022-06-30", 25.9 ], [ "2022-09-30", 26 ], [ "2022-12-31", 26 ], [ "2023-03-31", 26.1 ], [ "2023-06-30", 26.9 ], [ "2023-09-30", 27.3 ], [ "2023-12-31", 27.4 ], [ "2024-03-31", 27.5 ], [ "2024-06-30", 28 ], [ "2024-09-30", 28.7 ], [ "2024-12-31", 28.7 ], [ "2025-03-31", 28.6 ], [ "2025-06-30", 28.6 ], [ "2025-09-30", 28.7 ], [ "2025-12-31", 28.7 ], [ "2026-03-31", 28.5 ], [ "2026-06-30", 28.8 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Reserve Bank of Australia", "title": "Statistical Table H2 - Demand and Income", "url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "Public final demand as a share of real output, ABS national accounts via RBA Table H2." }, { "id": "tax_take", "title": "Tax take", "topic": "Budget, debt & the size of government", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "direct", "latest": { "value": 23.7, "unit": "%", "period": "2024-25", "description": "of GDP collected in Commonwealth tax receipts" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 0.7, "label": "+0.7 pts", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 23 ], "to": [ "2025-06-30", 23.7 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "steady", "change": 0.1, "from": [ "2024-06-30", 23.6 ], "to": [ "2025-06-30", 23.7 ] }, "labels": [ "Share of GDP", "Financial years" ], "unit": "%", "series": [ { "name": "Commonwealth tax receipts, % of GDP", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "1971-06-30", 17.8 ], [ "1972-06-30", 17.7 ], [ "1973-06-30", 16.9 ], [ "1974-06-30", 17.9 ], [ "1975-06-30", 19.8 ], [ "1976-06-30", 20.3 ], [ "1977-06-30", 20.5 ], [ "1978-06-30", 20.4 ], [ "1979-06-30", 19.7 ], [ "1980-06-30", 20.4 ], [ "1981-06-30", 21.4 ], [ "1982-06-30", 21.5 ], [ "1983-06-30", 21.6 ], [ "1984-06-30", 21 ], [ "1985-06-30", 22.5 ], [ "1986-06-30", 22.5 ], [ "1987-06-30", 23.2 ], [ "1988-06-30", 23.1 ], [ "1989-06-30", 22.6 ], [ "1990-06-30", 22.4 ], [ "1991-06-30", 22.3 ], [ "1992-06-30", 20.6 ], [ "1993-06-30", 20 ], [ "1994-06-30", 20 ], [ "1995-06-30", 21.1 ], [ "1996-06-30", 21.8 ], [ "1997-06-30", 22.3 ], [ "1998-06-30", 22.2 ], [ "1999-06-30", 22.2 ], [ "2000-06-30", 22.8 ], [ "2001-06-30", 24 ], [ "2002-06-30", 23.1 ], [ "2003-06-30", 23.9 ], [ "2004-06-30", 23.9 ], [ "2005-06-30", 24.2 ], [ "2006-06-30", 24.2 ], [ "2007-06-30", 23.7 ], [ "2008-06-30", 23.6 ], [ "2009-06-30", 21.6 ], [ "2010-06-30", 20 ], [ "2011-06-30", 19.8 ], [ "2012-06-30", 20.7 ], [ "2013-06-30", 21.2 ], [ "2014-06-30", 21.2 ], [ "2015-06-30", 21.7 ], [ "2016-06-30", 21.8 ], [ "2017-06-30", 21.5 ], [ "2018-06-30", 22.6 ], [ "2019-06-30", 22.9 ], [ "2020-06-30", 21.7 ], [ "2021-06-30", 22.7 ], [ "2022-06-30", 23 ], [ "2023-06-30", 23.3 ], [ "2024-06-30", 23.6 ], [ "2025-06-30", 23.7 ], [ "2026-06-30", 23.6 ], [ "2027-06-30", 23.8 ], [ "2028-06-30", 23.8 ], [ "2029-06-30", 23.5 ], [ "2030-06-30", 23.6 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": "2026-06-30", "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Government (Treasury)", "title": "Budget Paper No. 1, Statement 11: Historical Australian Government data", "url": "https://budget.gov.au/content/bp1/index.htm", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "Australian Government general government sector taxation receipts as a share of nominal GDP, from the historical tables in the latest Budget. Years marked as estimates in the Budget are shown as estimates." }, { "id": "gross_debt", "title": "Gross government debt", "topic": "Budget, debt & the size of government", "kind": "target", "federal_influence": "direct", "latest": { "value": 33.2, "unit": "%", "period": "2025-26", "description": "gross government debt as a share of GDP (latest actual)" }, "verdict": { "verdict": "at_risk", "reason": "33.2% of GDP at the latest actual, against 38.3% in June 2022; the Budget forecasts 35.6% by 2030.", "commitment": "Reduce gross debt as a share of the economy over time.", "rule": "Measured the government’s own way, as a share of GDP. On track if the latest actual is lower than at 30 June 2022 and the Budget forecasts it lower still in four years; at risk if only one of those holds; off track if neither." }, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "down", "change": -5.1, "label": "−5.1 pts", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 38.3 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 33.2 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "steady", "change": -0.2, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 33.4 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 33.2 ] }, "labels": [ "Share of GDP" ], "unit": "$bn", "series": [ { "name": "Gross debt at 30 June ($ billion)", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2006-06-30", 54.1 ], [ "2007-06-30", 53.3 ], [ "2008-06-30", 55.4 ], [ "2009-06-30", 101.1 ], [ "2010-06-30", 147.1 ], [ "2011-06-30", 191.3 ], [ "2012-06-30", 234 ], [ "2013-06-30", 257.4 ], [ "2014-06-30", 319.5 ], [ "2015-06-30", 368.7 ], [ "2016-06-30", 420.4 ], [ "2017-06-30", 501 ], [ "2018-06-30", 531.9 ], [ "2019-06-30", 542 ], [ "2020-06-30", 684.3 ], [ "2021-06-30", 817 ], [ "2022-06-30", 895.3 ], [ "2023-06-30", 889.8 ], [ "2024-06-30", 906.9 ], [ "2025-06-30", 928.6 ], [ "2026-06-30", 971.4 ], [ "2027-06-30", 1051 ], [ "2028-06-30", 1120 ], [ "2029-06-30", 1193 ], [ "2030-06-30", 1249 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": "2026-07-01", "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Government (Treasury & Finance)", "title": "Final Budget Outcome 2025-26", "url": "https://archive.budget.gov.au/2025-26/fbo/download/00_fbo_2025-26.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Government (Treasury & Finance)", "title": "Budget Paper No. 1 2026-27, Statement 11: Historical Australian Government Data", "url": "https://budget.gov.au/content/bp1/download/bp1_bs-11.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Government (Treasury & Finance)", "title": "Budget Paper No. 1 2026-27, Statement 3: Fiscal Strategy and Outlook", "url": "https://budget.gov.au/content/bp1/download/bp1_bs-3.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Government (Treasury & Finance)", "title": "Final Budget Outcome 2024-25", "url": "https://archive.budget.gov.au/2024-25/fbo/download/00_fbo_2024-25.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Office of Financial Management", "title": "Data Hub: End of Financial Year Positions - Executive Summary (automated daily cross-check)", "url": "https://www.aofm.gov.au/data-hub", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "Face value of Australian Government Securities (AGS) on issue at 30 June ('Total AGS on issue' column, Budget Paper No. 1 2026-27 Table 11.5), which the Budget defines as gross debt. 2005-06 to 2024-25 are actuals, identical in the 2024-25 Final Budget Outcome. 2025-26 onward are Budget estimates rounded to the nearest $1 billion. Share of GDP uses the GDP figures in the 2026-27 Budget. Actual years are cross-checked automatically every day against the AOFM register of securities on issue." }, { "id": "budget_balance", "title": "Budget deficits", "topic": "Budget, debt & the size of government", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "direct", "latest": { "value": -31.5, "unit": "$", "period": "2026-27 Budget estimate", "description": "underlying cash balance: a deficit" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 9.7, "label": "+$9.7bn", "from": [ "2022-06-30", -32 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", -22.3 ], "starting_point_note": "2021-22 was the last Budget year of the previous government." }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "down", "change": -12.3, "from": [ "2025-06-30", -10 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", -22.3 ] }, "labels": [ "Nominal $", "Underlying cash balance" ], "unit": "$bn", "series": [ { "name": "Underlying cash balance ($ billion)", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "1971-06-30", 0.9 ], [ "1972-06-30", 0.9 ], [ "1973-06-30", 0.3 ], [ "1974-06-30", 1.1 ], [ "1975-06-30", 0.2 ], [ "1976-06-30", -1.5 ], [ "1977-06-30", -1.3 ], [ "1978-06-30", -2 ], [ "1979-06-30", -2.1 ], [ "1980-06-30", -1.3 ], [ "1981-06-30", -0.2 ], [ "1982-06-30", 0.3 ], [ "1983-06-30", -3.3 ], [ "1984-06-30", -7 ], [ "1985-06-30", -6 ], [ "1986-06-30", -5.1 ], [ "1987-06-30", -2.4 ], [ "1988-06-30", 1.5 ], [ "1989-06-30", 5.4 ], [ "1990-06-30", 5.9 ], [ "1991-06-30", -0.4 ], [ "1992-06-30", -12.6 ], [ "1993-06-30", -18.1 ], [ "1994-06-30", -18.2 ], [ "1995-06-30", -14.2 ], [ "1996-06-30", -11.1 ], [ "1997-06-30", -6.1 ], [ "1998-06-30", 0.1 ], [ "1999-06-30", 3.9 ], [ "2000-06-30", 13 ], [ "2001-06-30", 5.9 ], [ "2002-06-30", -1.1 ], [ "2003-06-30", 7.4 ], [ "2004-06-30", 8 ], [ "2005-06-30", 13.6 ], [ "2006-06-30", 15.8 ], [ "2007-06-30", 17.2 ], [ "2008-06-30", 19.8 ], [ "2009-06-30", -27 ], [ "2010-06-30", -54.5 ], [ "2011-06-30", -47.5 ], [ "2012-06-30", -43.4 ], [ "2013-06-30", -18.8 ], [ "2014-06-30", -48.5 ], [ "2015-06-30", -37.9 ], [ "2016-06-30", -39.6 ], [ "2017-06-30", -33.2 ], [ "2018-06-30", -10.1 ], [ "2019-06-30", -0.7 ], [ "2020-06-30", -85.3 ], [ "2021-06-30", -134.2 ], [ "2022-06-30", -32 ], [ "2023-06-30", 22.1 ], [ "2024-06-30", 15.8 ], [ "2025-06-30", -10 ], [ "2026-06-30", -22.3 ], [ "2027-06-30", -31.5 ], [ "2028-06-30", -31 ], [ "2029-06-30", -34.4 ], [ "2030-06-30", -25.3 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": "2026-07-01", "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Government (Treasury & Finance)", "title": "Final Budget Outcome 2025-26", "url": "https://archive.budget.gov.au/2025-26/fbo/download/00_fbo_2025-26.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Government (Treasury & Finance)", "title": "Budget Paper No. 1 2026-27, Statement 11 (Table 11.1: underlying cash balance 1970-71 to 2029-30; Table 11.3: tax receipts)", "url": "https://budget.gov.au/content/bp1/download/bp1_bs-11.pdf", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "Underlying cash balance (general government sector), Budget Paper No. 1 2026-27, Table 11.1, 1970-71 to 2029-30. 2025-26 is the actual from the Final Budget Outcome 2025-26; later years are estimates." }, { "id": "interest_costs", "title": "Interest on government debt", "topic": "Budget, debt & the size of government", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "direct", "latest": { "value": 29.6, "unit": "$", "period": "2026-27 Budget estimate", "description": "interest payments in one year" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 9.6, "label": "+$9.6bn", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 17.4 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 27 ], "starting_point_note": "2021-22 was the last Budget year of the previous government. Interest rates on government debt have risen worldwide since." }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 2.7, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 24.3 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 27 ] }, "labels": [ "Nominal $", "Cash payments" ], "unit": "$bn", "series": [ { "name": "Interest payments ($ billion)", "role": "accent", "points": [ [ "1971-06-30", 0.6 ], [ "1972-06-30", 0.6 ], [ "1973-06-30", 0.7 ], [ "1974-06-30", 0.7 ], [ "1975-06-30", 0.9 ], [ "1976-06-30", 1 ], [ "1977-06-30", 1.5 ], [ "1978-06-30", 1.7 ], [ "1979-06-30", 2.1 ], [ "1980-06-30", 2.4 ], [ "1981-06-30", 2.7 ], [ "1982-06-30", 3.1 ], [ "1983-06-30", 3.6 ], [ "1984-06-30", 4.6 ], [ "1985-06-30", 6 ], [ "1986-06-30", 7.4 ], [ "1987-06-30", 8.3 ], [ "1988-06-30", 8.1 ], [ "1989-06-30", 8.2 ], [ "1990-06-30", 8.1 ], [ "1991-06-30", 7 ], [ "1992-06-30", 6.8 ], [ "1993-06-30", 6.5 ], [ "1994-06-30", 7.7 ], [ "1995-06-30", 9.1 ], [ "1996-06-30", 10.3 ], [ "1997-06-30", 10.7 ], [ "1998-06-30", 9.5 ], [ "1999-06-30", 9.3 ], [ "2000-06-30", 8.5 ], [ "2001-06-30", 7.3 ], [ "2002-06-30", 6.3 ], [ "2003-06-30", 4.7 ], [ "2004-06-30", 4.1 ], [ "2005-06-30", 3.9 ], [ "2006-06-30", 4.6 ], [ "2007-06-30", 4 ], [ "2008-06-30", 3.8 ], [ "2009-06-30", 4 ], [ "2010-06-30", 6.4 ], [ "2011-06-30", 9.6 ], [ "2012-06-30", 10.9 ], [ "2013-06-30", 11.8 ], [ "2014-06-30", 14 ], [ "2015-06-30", 13.9 ], [ "2016-06-30", 15 ], [ "2017-06-30", 15.3 ], [ "2018-06-30", 16.6 ], [ "2019-06-30", 19 ], [ "2020-06-30", 16.5 ], [ "2021-06-30", 17.1 ], [ "2022-06-30", 17.4 ], [ "2023-06-30", 18.9 ], [ "2024-06-30", 22.8 ], [ "2025-06-30", 24.3 ], [ "2026-06-30", 27 ], [ "2027-06-30", 29.6 ], [ "2028-06-30", 36.4 ], [ "2029-06-30", 38 ], [ "2030-06-30", 42.3 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": "2026-07-01", "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Government (Treasury & Finance)", "title": "Final Budget Outcome 2025-26", "url": "https://archive.budget.gov.au/2025-26/fbo/download/00_fbo_2025-26.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Government (Treasury & Finance)", "title": "Budget Paper No. 1 2026-27, Statement 11 (Table 11.5: interest paid, 1970-71 to 2029-30)", "url": "https://budget.gov.au/content/bp1/download/bp1_bs-11.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Government (Treasury & Finance)", "title": "Budget Paper No. 1 2026-27 (Table 6.3: expenses by function; Table 6.17: other purposes)", "url": "https://budget.gov.au/content/bp1/download/bp1_2026-27.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Government (Treasury & Finance)", "title": "Budget Paper No. 1 2026-27, Statement 3: Fiscal Strategy and Outlook", "url": "https://budget.gov.au/content/bp1/download/bp1_bs-3.pdf", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "Interest paid (cash) from Budget Paper No. 1 2026-27, Statement 11, Table 11.5, with the 2025-26 actual from the Final Budget Outcome. The comparison with other spending uses accrual expenses by function (Tables 6.3 and 6.17), which is why public debt interest expense ($31.9b) differs from cash interest payments ($29.6b)." }, { "id": "spending_gdp", "title": "Government spending (share of GDP)", "topic": "Budget, debt & the size of government", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "direct", "latest": { "value": 26.9, "unit": "%", "period": "2025-26 (Final Budget Outcome)", "description": "of GDP spent by the Commonwealth, the highest in 40 years outside the COVID years" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 0.5, "label": "+0.5 pts", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 26.4 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 26.9 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 0.7, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 26.2 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 26.9 ] }, "labels": [ "Share of GDP" ], "unit": "%", "series": [ { "name": "Payments, % of GDP", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "1971-06-30", 18.3 ], [ "1972-06-30", 18.5 ], [ "1973-06-30", 18.8 ], [ "1974-06-30", 18.3 ], [ "1975-06-30", 21.7 ], [ "1976-06-30", 24.2 ], [ "1977-06-30", 24 ], [ "1978-06-30", 24.8 ], [ "1979-06-30", 23.8 ], [ "1980-06-30", 23.5 ], [ "1981-06-30", 23.7 ], [ "1982-06-30", 23.4 ], [ "1983-06-30", 25.7 ], [ "1984-06-30", 26.6 ], [ "1985-06-30", 27.5 ], [ "1986-06-30", 27.3 ], [ "1987-06-30", 26.9 ], [ "1988-06-30", 25.2 ], [ "1989-06-30", 23.1 ], [ "1990-06-30", 22.9 ], [ "1991-06-30", 24.2 ], [ "1992-06-30", 25.6 ], [ "1993-06-30", 26 ], [ "1994-06-30", 26.1 ], [ "1995-06-30", 25.7 ], [ "1996-06-30", 25.6 ], [ "1997-06-30", 25.1 ], [ "1998-06-30", 23.8 ], [ "1999-06-30", 23.8 ], [ "2000-06-30", 23.1 ], [ "2001-06-30", 25 ], [ "2002-06-30", 24.9 ], [ "2003-06-30", 24.5 ], [ "2004-06-30", 24.2 ], [ "2005-06-30", 24 ], [ "2006-06-30", 24 ], [ "2007-06-30", 23.2 ], [ "2008-06-30", 23 ], [ "2009-06-30", 25 ], [ "2010-06-30", 25.7 ], [ "2011-06-30", 24.3 ], [ "2012-06-30", 24.6 ], [ "2013-06-30", 23.8 ], [ "2014-06-30", 25.3 ], [ "2015-06-30", 25.3 ], [ "2016-06-30", 25.4 ], [ "2017-06-30", 24.9 ], [ "2018-06-30", 24.5 ], [ "2019-06-30", 24.5 ], [ "2020-06-30", 27.6 ], [ "2021-06-30", 31.3 ], [ "2022-06-30", 26.4 ], [ "2023-06-30", 24.3 ], [ "2024-06-30", 25.1 ], [ "2025-06-30", 26.2 ], [ "2026-06-30", 26.9 ], [ "2027-06-30", 26.8 ], [ "2028-06-30", 26.8 ], [ "2029-06-30", 26.5 ], [ "2030-06-30", 26.2 ] ] }, { "name": "Tax receipts, % of GDP", "role": "muted", "points": [ [ "1971-06-30", 17.8 ], [ "1972-06-30", 17.7 ], [ "1973-06-30", 16.9 ], [ "1974-06-30", 17.9 ], [ "1975-06-30", 19.8 ], [ "1976-06-30", 20.3 ], [ "1977-06-30", 20.5 ], [ "1978-06-30", 20.4 ], [ "1979-06-30", 19.7 ], [ "1980-06-30", 20.4 ], [ "1981-06-30", 21.4 ], [ "1982-06-30", 21.5 ], [ "1983-06-30", 21.6 ], [ "1984-06-30", 21 ], [ "1985-06-30", 22.5 ], [ "1986-06-30", 22.5 ], [ "1987-06-30", 23.2 ], [ "1988-06-30", 23.1 ], [ "1989-06-30", 22.6 ], [ "1990-06-30", 22.4 ], [ "1991-06-30", 22.3 ], [ "1992-06-30", 20.6 ], [ "1993-06-30", 20 ], [ "1994-06-30", 20 ], [ "1995-06-30", 21.1 ], [ "1996-06-30", 21.8 ], [ "1997-06-30", 22.3 ], [ "1998-06-30", 22.2 ], [ "1999-06-30", 22.2 ], [ "2000-06-30", 22.8 ], [ "2001-06-30", 24 ], [ "2002-06-30", 23.1 ], [ "2003-06-30", 23.9 ], [ "2004-06-30", 23.9 ], [ "2005-06-30", 24.2 ], [ "2006-06-30", 24.2 ], [ "2007-06-30", 23.7 ], [ "2008-06-30", 23.6 ], [ "2009-06-30", 21.6 ], [ "2010-06-30", 20 ], [ "2011-06-30", 19.8 ], [ "2012-06-30", 20.7 ], [ "2013-06-30", 21.2 ], [ "2014-06-30", 21.2 ], [ "2015-06-30", 21.7 ], [ "2016-06-30", 21.8 ], [ "2017-06-30", 21.5 ], [ "2018-06-30", 22.6 ], [ "2019-06-30", 22.9 ], [ "2020-06-30", 21.7 ], [ "2021-06-30", 22.7 ], [ "2022-06-30", 23 ], [ "2023-06-30", 23.3 ], [ "2024-06-30", 23.6 ], [ "2025-06-30", 23.7 ], [ "2026-06-30", 24.1 ], [ "2027-06-30", 23.8 ], [ "2028-06-30", 23.8 ], [ "2029-06-30", 23.5 ], [ "2030-06-30", 23.6 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": "2026-07-01", "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Government (Treasury & Finance)", "title": "Final Budget Outcome 2025-26", "url": "https://archive.budget.gov.au/2025-26/fbo/download/00_fbo_2025-26.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Government (Treasury & Finance)", "title": "Budget Paper No. 1 2026-27, Statement 11 (Tables 11.1 and 11.3)", "url": "https://budget.gov.au/content/bp1/download/bp1_bs-11.pdf", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "General government sector cash payments and tax receipts as a percentage of GDP. 1970-71 to 2024-25 and forecasts from Budget Paper No. 1 2026-27, Statement 11 (Tables 11.1 and 11.3); 2025-26 actuals from the Final Budget Outcome 2025-26." }, { "id": "aps_headcount", "title": "Size of the public service", "topic": "Budget, debt & the size of government", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "direct", "latest": { "value": 24.7, "unit": "%", "period": "30 June 2022 → 30 June 2025", "description": "growth in Australian Public Service (APS) headcount" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 24.721, "label": "+24.7%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 159179 ], "to": [ "2025-06-30", 198529 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 7.395, "from": [ "2024-06-30", 184858 ], "to": [ "2025-06-30", 198529 ] }, "labels": [ "Headcount at 30 June" ], "unit": "people", "series": [ { "name": "APS employees at 30 June", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2021-06-30", 153571 ], [ "2022-06-30", 159179 ], [ "2023-06-30", 170086 ], [ "2024-06-30", 184858 ], [ "2025-06-30", 198529 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Public Service Commission", "title": "State of the Service Report 2024-25: APS workforce size and location (Table 10)", "url": "https://www.apsc.gov.au/initiatives-and-programs/workforce-information/research-analysis-and-publications/state-service/state-service-report-2024-25/aps-workforce/aps-workforce-size-and-location", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Public Service Commission", "title": "APS Employment Data, 30 June 2022", "url": "https://www.apsc.gov.au/employment-data/aps-employment-data-30-june-2022", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Government (Finance)", "title": "Budget Paper No. 4 2026-27: Staffing of agencies", "url": "https://budget.gov.au/content/bp4/download/bp4_10_staffing_of_agencies.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Government (Finance)", "title": "Budget Paper No. 4 2026-27: Preface (external labour conversions)", "url": "https://budget.gov.au/content/bp4/download/bp4_02_preface.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "National, state and territory population", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territory-population/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" } ], "method": "APS headcount (ongoing + non-ongoing) from APSC data at 30 June. The population benchmark is the change in ABS estimated resident population between the June quarters of the same years, computed automatically from the ABS Data API." }, { "id": "ndis", "title": "NDIS cost growth", "topic": "Budget, debt & the size of government", "kind": "target", "federal_influence": "direct", "latest": { "value": 11.3, "unit": "%", "period": "12 months to March 2026", "description": "annual growth in NDIS costs" }, "verdict": { "verdict": "off_track", "reason": "Latest annual growth is 11.3%, above the 8% target.", "commitment": "Slow annual growth in NDIS costs to no more than 8% by 1 July 2026.", "rule": "On track if the latest reported annual growth in scheme costs is 8% or less; off track if it is above 8%." }, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 17.9, "label": "+$17.9bn", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 28.6 ], "to": [ "2025-06-30", 46.5 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "up", "change": 4.6, "from": [ "2024-06-30", 41.9 ], "to": [ "2025-06-30", 46.5 ] }, "labels": [ "Nominal" ], "unit": "$bn", "series": [ { "name": "NDIS scheme expenses ($ billion)", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2022-06-30", 28.6 ], [ "2023-06-30", 35.2 ], [ "2024-06-30", 41.9 ], [ "2025-06-30", 46.5 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Department of Finance", "title": "Estimates brief: NDIS expenses (FOI 25-26/146)", "url": "https://www.finance.gov.au/sites/default/files/foi-25-26-146-document-01.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Office of Impact Analysis (PM&C)", "title": "NDIS Reforms Impact Analysis (1 July 2026 update)", "url": "https://oia.pmc.gov.au/sites/default/files/posts/2026/07/Impact%20Analysis%20(01.07.26%20Update)_0.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Government (Treasury & Finance)", "title": "Budget Paper No. 1 2026-27 (Table 6.9.2)", "url": "https://budget.gov.au/content/bp1/download/bp1_2026-27.pdf", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "Scheme expenses by financial year from the Department of Finance estimates brief. Latest 12-month growth and participant numbers from the NDIS Reforms Impact Analysis." }, { "id": "migration", "title": "Net overseas migration", "topic": "Population", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "direct", "latest": { "value": 292000, "unit": "", "period": "12 months to March quarter 2026", "description": "net overseas migration" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 40.5, "label": "+40.5%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 207900 ], "to": [ "2026-03-31", 292100 ], "starting_point_note": "Borders had reopened only months earlier, so migration in mid-2022 was still rebounding from near zero." }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "down", "change": -5.591, "from": [ "2025-03-31", 309400 ], "to": [ "2026-03-31", 292100 ] }, "labels": [ "Original", "Rolling 12 months" ], "unit": "people", "series": [ { "name": "Net overseas migration, rolling 12 months", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2004-03-31", 104000 ], [ "2004-06-30", 100000 ], [ "2004-09-30", 103200 ], [ "2004-12-31", 106500 ], [ "2005-03-31", 118100 ], [ "2005-06-30", 123800 ], [ "2005-09-30", 130800 ], [ "2005-12-31", 137000 ], [ "2006-03-31", 143100 ], [ "2006-06-30", 146700 ], [ "2006-09-30", 166200 ], [ "2006-12-31", 182100 ], [ "2007-03-31", 204900 ], [ "2007-06-30", 232700 ], [ "2007-09-30", 238600 ], [ "2007-12-31", 244000 ], [ "2008-03-31", 261500 ], [ "2008-06-30", 277400 ], [ "2008-09-30", 298700 ], [ "2008-12-31", 315700 ], [ "2009-03-31", 310900 ], [ "2009-06-30", 299800 ], [ "2009-09-30", 278200 ], [ "2009-12-31", 246900 ], [ "2010-03-31", 218100 ], [ "2010-06-30", 196100 ], [ "2010-09-30", 175400 ], [ "2010-12-31", 172100 ], [ "2011-03-31", 173200 ], [ "2011-06-30", 180400 ], [ "2011-09-30", 194000 ], [ "2011-12-31", 206200 ], [ "2012-03-31", 219200 ], [ "2012-06-30", 231900 ], [ "2012-09-30", 239800 ], [ "2012-12-31", 240200 ], [ "2013-03-31", 237400 ], [ "2013-06-30", 230300 ], [ "2013-09-30", 221200 ], [ "2013-12-31", 208400 ], [ "2014-03-31", 202200 ], [ "2014-06-30", 187800 ], [ "2014-09-30", 183800 ], [ "2014-12-31", 182400 ], [ "2015-03-31", 181200 ], [ "2015-06-30", 184100 ], [ "2015-09-30", 184300 ], [ "2015-12-31", 186800 ], [ "2016-03-31", 196000 ], [ "2016-06-30", 206300 ], [ "2016-09-30", 229600 ], [ "2016-12-31", 243900 ], [ "2017-03-31", 259700 ], [ "2017-06-30", 263400 ], [ "2017-09-30", 259400 ], [ "2017-12-31", 241600 ], [ "2018-03-31", 237900 ], [ "2018-06-30", 238200 ], [ "2018-09-30", 242300 ], [ "2018-12-31", 252200 ], [ "2019-03-31", 250700 ], [ "2019-06-30", 241300 ], [ "2019-09-30", 242000 ], [ "2019-12-31", 247600 ], [ "2020-03-31", 239200 ], [ "2020-06-30", 192700 ], [ "2020-09-30", 75600 ], [ "2020-12-31", -5000 ], [ "2021-03-31", -94400 ], [ "2021-06-30", -85000 ], [ "2021-09-30", -55400 ], [ "2021-12-31", 9300 ], [ "2022-03-31", 131000 ], [ "2022-06-30", 207900 ], [ "2022-09-30", 348600 ], [ "2022-12-31", 437800 ], [ "2023-03-31", 495800 ], [ "2023-06-30", 538300 ], [ "2023-09-30", 555800 ], [ "2023-12-31", 530700 ], [ "2024-03-31", 493900 ], [ "2024-06-30", 429200 ], [ "2024-09-30", 365600 ], [ "2024-12-31", 330400 ], [ "2025-03-31", 309400 ], [ "2025-06-30", 301500 ], [ "2025-09-30", 307000 ], [ "2025-12-31", 298800 ], [ "2026-03-31", 292100 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "National, state and territory population", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territory-population/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Building Activity, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/industry/building-and-construction/building-activity-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T04:36:23+00:00" }, { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Overseas Migration, 2024-25", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/overseas-migration/latest-release", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Government (Treasury)", "title": "Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook 2023-24", "url": "https://archive.budget.gov.au/2023-24/myefo/download/myefo2023-24.pdf", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Treasurer (Jim Chalmers)", "title": "Press conference, Canberra, 14 December 2023", "url": "https://ministers.treasury.gov.au/ministers/jim-chalmers-2022/transcripts/press-conference-blue-room-canberra-14", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "Sum of the latest four quarters of ABS net overseas migration. Pre-COVID benchmark is the average of financial-year totals 2009-10 to 2018-19. Population growth is the change in estimated resident population over the same 12 months." }, { "id": "defence_spending", "title": "Defence spending", "topic": "Governance, defence & delivery", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "direct", "latest": { "value": 2.02, "unit": "%", "period": "2026-27 Budget", "description": "of GDP on defence (traditional budget measure)" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "steady", "change": 0.15, "label": "+0.15 pts", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 1.98 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 2.13 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "steady", "change": 0.1, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 2.03 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 2.13 ] }, "labels": [ "Share of GDP", "Budget-time estimates" ], "unit": "%", "series": [ { "name": "Defence funding, % of GDP", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2022-06-30", 1.98 ], [ "2023-06-30", 1.93 ], [ "2024-06-30", 1.99 ], [ "2025-06-30", 2.03 ], [ "2026-06-30", 2.13 ], [ "2027-06-30", 2.02 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Defence Magazine", "title": "2026 Defence budget released", "url": "https://www.australiandefence.com.au/news/news/2026-defence-budget-released", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Strategic Analysis Australia", "title": "Defence budget 2026-27: the $14 billion disappearing act", "url": "https://strategicanalysis.org/defence-budget-2026-27-the-14-billion-disappearing-act/", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Australian Defence Magazine", "title": "Defence budget inches upwards (2024-25)", "url": "https://www.australiandefence.com.au/news/news/defence-budget-inches-upwards", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Minister for Defence", "title": "2026 National Defence Strategy and Integrated Investment Program", "url": "https://www.minister.defence.gov.au/media-releases/2026-04-16/2026-national-defence-strategy-integrated-investment-program", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Defense News", "title": "Australia should surge defense spending to 3.5% of GDP, Pentagon says", "url": "https://www.defensenews.com/pentagon/2025/06/02/australia-should-surge-defense-spending-to-35-of-gdp-pentagon-says/", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "NATO", "title": "Funding NATO (defence spending benchmarks)", "url": "https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_49198.htm", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "Defence funding as a share of GDP on the traditional budget appropriation measure, as calculated and reported by defence budget analysts at each Budget. Defence's own budget statements publish dollars only." }, { "id": "legislation", "title": "Laws passed", "topic": "Governance, defence & delivery", "kind": "context", "federal_influence": "direct", "latest": { "value": 354, "unit": "", "period": "47th Parliament (2022-2025)", "description": "Acts of Parliament passed in the government's first term" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": null, "change_over_year": null, "labels": [ "Count of Acts" ], "unit": "", "series": [], "categories": [ { "name": "45th Parliament (2016-19)", "value": 402, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "46th Parliament (2019-22)", "value": 407, "role": "muted" }, { "name": "47th Parliament (2022-25)", "value": 354, "role": "primary" }, { "name": "48th Parliament (to 11 Sep 2026)", "value": 133, "role": "primary" } ], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Federal Register of Legislation (Office of Parliamentary Counsel)", "title": "Acts collection: search by year of assent", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.au/", "retrieved_at": null }, { "publisher": "Parliamentary Education Office", "title": "47th Parliament statistics", "url": "https://peo.gov.au/understand-our-parliament/how-parliament-works/parliament-at-work/parliamentary-statistics/47th-parliament", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "Count of Acts in the Federal Register of Legislation by assent date within each Parliament's term. Cross-checked against the Parliamentary Education Office's 47th Parliament statistics (355 bills passed both houses)." }, { "id": "income_tax_shares", "title": "Who pays the income tax", "topic": "Budget, debt & the size of government", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "shared", "latest": { "value": 16.8, "unit": "%", "period": "2023-24", "description": "of all personal income tax was paid by the top 1% of taxpayers" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": null, "change_over_year": { "trend": "steady", "change": -0.1, "from": [ "2023-06-30", 16.89 ], "to": [ "2024-06-30", 16.79 ] }, "labels": [ "Share of net tax", "Income years" ], "unit": "%", "series": [ { "name": "Top 1%", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2014-06-30", 17.02 ], [ "2015-06-30", 16.78 ], [ "2016-06-30", 16.92 ], [ "2017-06-30", 16.67 ], [ "2018-06-30", 16.85 ], [ "2019-06-30", 16.66 ], [ "2020-06-30", 16.34 ], [ "2021-06-30", 18.35 ], [ "2022-06-30", 19.61 ], [ "2023-06-30", 16.89 ], [ "2024-06-30", 16.79 ] ] }, { "name": "Next 9% (top 2% to 10%)", "role": "accent", "points": [ [ "2014-06-30", 28.43 ], [ "2015-06-30", 28.29 ], [ "2016-06-30", 27.98 ], [ "2017-06-30", 27.79 ], [ "2018-06-30", 27.49 ], [ "2019-06-30", 27.95 ], [ "2020-06-30", 27.89 ], [ "2021-06-30", 27.9 ], [ "2022-06-30", 28.04 ], [ "2023-06-30", 26.97 ], [ "2024-06-30", 26.92 ] ] }, { "name": "Middle 40%", "points": [ [ "2014-06-30", 42.49 ], [ "2015-06-30", 42.51 ], [ "2016-06-30", 42.6 ], [ "2017-06-30", 42.83 ], [ "2018-06-30", 42.84 ], [ "2019-06-30", 42.82 ], [ "2020-06-30", 43.22 ], [ "2021-06-30", 42.15 ], [ "2022-06-30", 41.17 ], [ "2023-06-30", 42.86 ], [ "2024-06-30", 42.95 ] ] }, { "name": "Bottom 50%", "role": "muted", "points": [ [ "2014-06-30", 12.06 ], [ "2015-06-30", 12.42 ], [ "2016-06-30", 12.51 ], [ "2017-06-30", 12.71 ], [ "2018-06-30", 12.82 ], [ "2019-06-30", 12.58 ], [ "2020-06-30", 12.55 ], [ "2021-06-30", 11.61 ], [ "2022-06-30", 11.18 ], [ "2023-06-30", 13.28 ], [ "2024-06-30", 13.33 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Taxation Office", "title": "Taxation statistics 2023-24, Individuals Table 16: Percentile distribution of taxable individuals", "url": "https://www.ato.gov.au/about-ato/research-and-statistics/in-detail/taxation-statistics", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T03:20:00+10:00" } ], "method": "Net tax by taxable income percentile from ATO Taxation Statistics, Individuals Table 16A, for each income year from 2013-14 to 2023-24, added up across sexes and states. Percentiles rank taxable individuals by taxable income. Each group's share is its net tax divided by the net tax of all taxable individuals." }, { "id": "personal_transfers", "title": "Money sent overseas by individuals", "topic": "Population", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "indirect", "latest": { "value": 2.7, "unit": "$", "period": "2025-26", "description": "sent overseas as personal transfers in a year" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 0.821, "label": "+$0.8bn", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 1.923 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 2.744 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "steady", "change": 0.035, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 2.709 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 2.744 ] }, "labels": [ "Original", "Financial years" ], "unit": "$bn", "series": [ { "name": "Personal transfers sent overseas", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2004-06-30", 0.544 ], [ "2005-06-30", 0.569 ], [ "2006-06-30", 0.628 ], [ "2007-06-30", 0.697 ], [ "2008-06-30", 0.757 ], [ "2009-06-30", 0.807 ], [ "2010-06-30", 0.867 ], [ "2011-06-30", 0.944 ], [ "2012-06-30", 1.022 ], [ "2013-06-30", 1.101 ], [ "2014-06-30", 1.148 ], [ "2015-06-30", 1.142 ], [ "2016-06-30", 1.172 ], [ "2017-06-30", 1.272 ], [ "2018-06-30", 1.437 ], [ "2019-06-30", 1.595 ], [ "2020-06-30", 1.746 ], [ "2021-06-30", 1.726 ], [ "2022-06-30", 1.923 ], [ "2023-06-30", 2.138 ], [ "2024-06-30", 2.455 ], [ "2025-06-30", 2.709 ], [ "2026-06-30", 2.744 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Australian Bureau of Statistics", "title": "Balance of Payments and International Investment Position, Australia", "url": "https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/international-trade/balance-payments-and-international-investment-position-australia/latest-release", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T03:20:00+10:00" } ], "method": "ABS Balance of Payments, secondary income debits, other sectors, personal transfers, original series at current prices. The 4 quarters of each financial year are added together and shown in billions of dollars." }, { "id": "consultancy_contracts", "title": "Spending on consultants", "topic": "Budget, debt & the size of government", "kind": "condition", "federal_influence": "direct", "latest": { "value": 759.8, "unit": "$", "period": "2025-26", "description": "in consultancy contracts starting in the year" }, "verdict": null, "change_since_took_office": { "trend": "up", "change": 7.773, "label": "+7.8%", "from": [ "2022-06-30", 705 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 759.8 ], "starting_point_note": null }, "change_over_year": { "trend": "down", "change": -3.309, "from": [ "2025-06-30", 785.8 ], "to": [ "2026-06-30", 759.8 ] }, "labels": [ "Contract value", "Financial years" ], "unit": "$m", "series": [ { "name": "Consultancy contracts starting in the year", "role": "primary", "points": [ [ "2013-06-30", 371 ], [ "2014-06-30", 387.4 ], [ "2015-06-30", 477.1 ], [ "2016-06-30", 565.7 ], [ "2017-06-30", 593.2 ], [ "2018-06-30", 578.8 ], [ "2019-06-30", 549.7 ], [ "2020-06-30", 673.3 ], [ "2021-06-30", 659.1 ], [ "2022-06-30", 705 ], [ "2023-06-30", 614.8 ], [ "2024-06-30", 746.6 ], [ "2025-06-30", 785.8 ], [ "2026-06-30", 759.8 ] ] } ], "categories": [], "forecast_from": null, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Department of Finance (AusTender)", "title": "AusTender contract notices, consultancy contracts by start date", "url": "https://www.tenders.gov.au/cn/search", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-07T11:30:00+10:00" }, { "publisher": "Australian National Audit Office", "title": "Australian Government procurement contract reporting: 2022 update", "url": "https://www.anao.gov.au/work/information/australian-government-procurement-contract-reporting-2022-update", "retrieved_at": null } ], "method": "Downloaded from AusTender's contract notice search with Consultancy set to Yes and the contract start date in each financial year. Each contract is counted once, at its latest value including any amendments. Values are the full contract value including GST, not annual payments. Contracts under $10,000 are not reported on AusTender. Agencies have 42 days to publish a contract, so the latest year may still rise a little." } ] }