Gov ScoreAustralia

Commitment

Emissions target

Is Australia on track for the government's legislated 43% emissions cut by 2030?

Emissions target: off track.

Download imagePortrait for Instagram
Off track

On the latest official figures, the commitment will not be delivered without a clear change.

Latest
25.0%below 2005 emissions levels · Year to March 2026
Since the government took office
No comparable figure from mid-2022.
Over the past year
Not a time series, so no yearly change is shown.

Emissions target

  • Official inventory and projections
  • Achieved (year to Mar 2026)25%
  • Projected by 2030 (govt)42%
  • Legislated 2030 target43%
Reduction below 2005 emissions levels. A land-sector recalculation in 2026 lowered reported reductions, so don't compare this with figures published earlier.

The commitment

Cut greenhouse emissions to 43% below 2005 levels by 2030.

How the verdict is reached

Judged on the government’s own latest emissions projections: on track if they show the 2030 target being met, off track if they show it being missed.

Today: The government’s own latest projections show the 2030 target being missed.

What this is

Australia's total greenhouse gas emissions compared with 2005 levels, from the official national inventory. The Climate Change Act 2022 sets a target of a 43% reduction by 2030.

Why it matters

It is the government's own legislated target, and it has justified energy policy and spending decisions by it. Missing it on its own projections is a test of delivery.

More from the figures

  • Emissions were 455.6 million tonnes CO2-e in the year to March 2026, 25.0% below 2005 levels.
  • The government's 2025 Annual Climate Change Statement projects a 42% reduction by 2030, short of the 43% target it legislated.

How it’s calculated

National inventory emissions (year to March 2026) compared with 2005, and the government's published 2030 projection.

Related